Within neighborhood
33
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally
Minnesota Court Eviction Risk: Moderate , Phoenix
Tract 04013111203 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 1,962 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Tract 04013111203 sits in the Minnesota eviction laws Court area of Phoenix eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.6/10. It is home to 1,962 residents. 100% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 44%
Stable renters 55%
Owners 1%
Tract context
Occupied units1,070
Renter share99.6%
SVI overall0.55
Poverty rate12.5%
Median income$50,833
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
61
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
78
th percentile
High
Within state
78
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Phoenix and the region
Centroid at 33.4534, -111.9745 · click any tract to drill in
Why Minnesota Court scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
12.5% poverty · this tract
3.1
Supply constraint
$1,216 rent vs county FMR
1.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0
How Minnesota Court compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 55
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 66%Socioeconomic
- 12%Household composition
- 82%Racial/ethnic minority
- 55%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 533Total filings over 5 yrs
- 17.38%Avg annual filing rate
- 18.4%Peak (2002)
- 93Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 18% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Minnesota Court. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 17.4%Housing insecurity
- 10.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 23.1%Food insecurity
- 18.0%SNAP enrollment
- 13.2%Transit barriers
- 13.8%No health insurance
- 19.3%Frequent mental distress
- 29.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Minnesota Court
The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.2/10.
The severe-burden share is 16%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Average gross rent is $1,216, 23% below the Phoenix average. Court records carry 533 eviction filings across 5 observed years.
It sits 0.9 points above the Maricopa County average of 3.7. The worst year on record was 2002, when 18.4% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 17.4% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 53rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 5.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
44% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013111203
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013111203?
Census tract 04013111203 in the Minnesota Court neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013111203?
Median gross rent is $1,216/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013111203?
12.5% of residents in tract 04013111203 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,962.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013111203?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 66th, household 12th, minority 82th, housing 55th.
Q5
Is tract 04013111203 considered part of Minnesota Court?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013111203 fall within Minnesota Court (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013111203?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 533 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013111203 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 17.38% of renter households, peaking at 18.4% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013111203 struggle to pay rent?
About 17.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013111203 compare to Phoenix overall?
Tract 04013111203 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Phoenix at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix
Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Garfield
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Silva Mountain
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Shadow Canyon
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Camelback Trailer Ranch
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Wabash Trailer Court
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Melrose District
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Centura West
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
County Fair West
5
/ 10 · Moderate
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