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Neighborhood · Ranked #19,562 of 84,120 nationally

South Phoenix Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 04013116500 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 4,973 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi

The Moderate-tier score of 5.6/10 for census tract 04013116500 reflects conditions in South Phoenix in Phoenix, Arizona. That is riskier than about 63% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 53% of renter households, a severe level, and 22% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,109 a month while the average household earns $54,946 a year, roughly 24% of income at the averages. Renters make up 36% of occupied homes.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 17% Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units1,488
Renter share35.9%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate23.6%
Median income$54,946

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 7 tracts In South Phoenix
Moderate
Within parent city
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#63 of 379 tracts In Phoenix
High
Within county
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#83 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Very High
Within state
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#242 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Phoenix and the region

Centroid at 33.3850, -112.0733 · click any tract to drill in

Why South Phoenix scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
23.6% poverty · this tract
5.9
Supply constraint
$1,109 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0

How South Phoenix compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
South Phoenix risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.45.4This tracttract 116500Phoenix: 2.82.8Phoenixparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 93

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 208Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 13.56%Avg annual filing rate
  • 18.6%Peak (2001)
  • 48Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040131165002001: 54 filings (18.56/100 renter HHs)2002: 36 filings (12.37/100 renter HHs)2003: 37 filings (12.71/100 renter HHs)2004: 33 filings (11.34/100 renter HHs)2005: 48 filings (12.83/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within South Phoenix. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in South Phoenix

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 5.9/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Maricopa County average of 5.1 and above the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 93rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 208 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 13.6% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 18.6% of renter households in 2001.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013116500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013116500?

Census tract 04013116500 in the South Phoenix neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013116500?

Median gross rent is $1,109/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013116500?

23.6% of residents in tract 04013116500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,973.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013116500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 98th, minority 90th, housing 73th.
Q5

Is tract 04013116500 considered part of South Phoenix?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013116500 fall within South Phoenix (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013116500?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 208 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013116500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.56% of renter households, peaking at 18.6% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013116500 struggle to pay rent?

About 24.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013116500 compare to Phoenix overall?

Tract 04013116500 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Phoenix at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix

Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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