Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Buenavante Eviction Risk: Lower , Scottsdale
Tract 04013216831 ·
Maricopa, AZ · pop 2,488 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
With a score of 3/10, tract 04013216831 in the Buenavante area of Scottsdale, AZ reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,488. Severe burden reaches 45%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%Stable renters 6%Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units1,015
Renter share14.9%
SVI overall0.09
Poverty rate9.3%
Median income$123,375
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Buenavante
Moderate
Within parent city
60th percentile
#25 of 61 tracts In Scottsdale
Elevated
Within county
28th percentile
#727 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Low
Within state
40th percentile
#1,065 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Scottsdale and the region
Centroid at 33.5913, -111.9271 · click any tract to drill in
Why Buenavante scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Scottsdale
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
9.3% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$3,310 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Scottsdale
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Scottsdale
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Scottsdale
2.0
How Buenavante compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 9
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
26%Socioeconomic
4%Household composition
22%Racial/ethnic minority
21%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
16Total filings over 4 yrs
0.70%Avg annual filing rate
1.0%Peak (2001)
5Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year2001 to 2005
Filings dropped 17% over the past 5 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
5.3%Housing insecurity
3.4%Utility-shutoff threat
7.1%Food insecurity
4.9%SNAP enrollment
4.5%Transit barriers
5.4%No health insurance
11.4%Frequent mental distress
27.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Buenavante
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 10/10. At $3,310 a month, rents run 64% over what the rest of Scottsdale commands. The voucher gap is 69.7%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. Cost burden runs 58% here against 46.0% across Maricopa County. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.
Annualized rent equals 32% of average household income of $123,375, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Housing insecurity runs 5.3% against 14.2% nationally.
Court records carry 16 eviction filings across 4 observed years. Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.4% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The worst year on record was 2001, when 1.0% of renter households were served.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013216831
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013216831?
Census tract 04013216831 in the Buenavante neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013216831?
Median gross rent is $3,310/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013216831?
9.3% of residents in tract 04013216831 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,488.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013216831?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 9th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 26th, household 4th, minority 22th, housing 21th.
Q5
Is tract 04013216831 considered part of Buenavante?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013216831 fall within Buenavante (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013216831?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 16 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 04013216831 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.70% of renter households, peaking at 1.0% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013216831 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013216831 compare to Scottsdale overall?
Tract 04013216831 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Scottsdale at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Scottsdale eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Scottsdale
Top eight tracts in Scottsdale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.