Neighborhood · Ranked #59,654 of 84,120 nationally
Shiloh Canyon Eviction Risk: Lower , Scottsdale
Tract 04013216837 ·
Maricopa, AZ · pop 4,902 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Census tract 04013216837 covers part of the Shiloh Canyon area of Scottsdale, AZ, and scores 3.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 28%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34%Stable renters 37%Owners 29%
Tract context
Occupied units2,593
Renter share71.2%
SVI overall0.40
Poverty rate8.3%
Median income$71,961
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Shiloh Canyon
Moderate
Within parent city
90th percentile
#7 of 61 tracts In Scottsdale
Very High
Within county
51th percentile
#495 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Moderate
Within state
49th percentile
#897 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Scottsdale and the region
Centroid at 33.5890, -111.8373 · click any tract to drill in
Why Shiloh Canyon scores 3.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Scottsdale
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
8.3% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$1,719 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Scottsdale
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Scottsdale
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Scottsdale
2.0
How Shiloh Canyon compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 40
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
39%Socioeconomic
39%Household composition
45%Racial/ethnic minority
45%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
934Total filings over 5 yrs
22.54%Avg annual filing rate
28.3%Peak (2002)
200Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year2001 to 2005
Filings climbed 56% over the past 5 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
6.8%Housing insecurity
4.1%Utility-shutoff threat
8.6%Food insecurity
5.7%SNAP enrollment
5.4%Transit barriers
6.7%No health insurance
13.2%Frequent mental distress
24.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Shiloh Canyon
The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. 71% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
On the softer side, tenant-organizing strength reads 1.5/10. Court records carry 934 eviction filings across 5 observed years.
At $1,719 a month, rents run 15% under what the rest of Scottsdale commands. Housing insecurity runs 6.8% against 14.2% nationally. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 4.1% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
The worst year on record was 2002, when 28.3% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 22.5% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 29th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
about half of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013216837
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013216837?
Census tract 04013216837 in the Shiloh Canyon neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013216837?
Median gross rent is $1,719/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013216837?
8.3% of residents in tract 04013216837 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,902.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013216837?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 40th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 39th, household 39th, minority 45th, housing 45th.
Q5
Is tract 04013216837 considered part of Shiloh Canyon?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013216837 fall within Shiloh Canyon (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013216837?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 934 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013216837 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 22.54% of renter households, peaking at 28.3% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013216837 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013216837 compare to Scottsdale overall?
Tract 04013216837 scores 3.4/10, right in line with the parent city of Scottsdale at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Scottsdale eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Scottsdale
Top eight tracts in Scottsdale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.