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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Grayhawk Eviction Risk: Lower , Scottsdale

Tract 04013216844 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 4,279 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

04013216844 is a census tract in the Grayhawk area of Scottsdale, AZ. It scores 3/10 for landlords. It is home to 4,279 residents. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 39% Owners 40%
Tract context
Occupied units2,479
Renter share60.8%
SVI overall0.41
Poverty rate9.6%
Median income$101,863

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Grayhawk
Moderate
Within parent city
3 th percentile
Rank, 3rd percentileLowHigh
#59 of 61 tracts In Scottsdale
Very Low
Within county
27 th percentile
Rank, 27th percentileLowHigh
#736 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Low
Within state
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#1,065 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Scottsdale and the region

Centroid at 33.6628, -111.9043 · click any tract to drill in

Why Grayhawk scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Scottsdale
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
9.6% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$2,271 rent vs county FMR
6.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Scottsdale
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Scottsdale
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Scottsdale
2.0

How Grayhawk compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Grayhawk risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.03.0This tracttract 216844Scottsdale: 3.23.2Scottsdaleparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 41

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 216Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 31.97%Avg annual filing rate
  • 54.1%Peak (2003)
  • 14Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040132168442001: 19 filings (14.49/100 renter HHs)2002: 43 filings (32.79/100 renter HHs)2003: 71 filings (54.14/100 renter HHs)2004: 69 filings (52.62/100 renter HHs)2005: 14 filings (5.80/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 26% over the past 5 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Grayhawk

Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. Cost burden runs roughly one in three here against 46.0% across Maricopa County. Severe burden reaches 21%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Well under the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 1.5/10. The voucher gap is 16.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Housing insecurity runs 5.0% against 14.2% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 216 evictions over 5 years of observation.

At $2,271 a month, rents run 13% over what the rest of Scottsdale commands. Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.1% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The worst year on record was 2003, when 54.1% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 32.0% of renter households face a filing.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013216844

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013216844?

Census tract 04013216844 in the Grayhawk neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013216844?

Median gross rent is $2,271/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013216844?

9.6% of residents in tract 04013216844 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,279.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013216844?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 41th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 29th, household 32th, minority 38th, housing 71th.
Q5

Is tract 04013216844 considered part of Grayhawk?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013216844 fall within Grayhawk (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013216844?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 216 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013216844 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 31.97% of renter households, peaking at 54.1% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013216844 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013216844 compare to Scottsdale overall?

Tract 04013216844 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Scottsdale at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Scottsdale eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Scottsdale

Top eight tracts in Scottsdale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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