Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

DC Ranch Eviction Risk: Lower , Scottsdale

Tract 04013216855 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,687 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Census tract 04013216855 covers part of the DC Ranch area of Scottsdale, AZ, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,687 residents. Cost burden runs roughly one in eight here against 46.0% across Maricopa County.

Risk score

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 3% Stable renters 17% Owners 80%

Tract context

Occupied units1,589

Renter share19.6%

SVI overall0.10

Poverty rate8.8%

Median income$175,694

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Scottsdale and the region

Centroid at 33.6647, -111.8785 · click any tract to drill in

Why DC Ranch scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Scottsdale

2.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.1

State political climate

Arizona legislature & governorship

2.2

Economic stress

8.8% poverty · this tract

2.2

Supply constraint

$2,686 rent vs county FMR

8.8

Rent control risk

Inherited from Scottsdale

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Scottsdale

1.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Scottsdale

2.0

How DC Ranch compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 10

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

3%Socioeconomic
30%Household composition
30%Racial/ethnic minority
24%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

4.7%Housing insecurity
3.1%Utility-shutoff threat
5.9%Food insecurity
3.9%SNAP enrollment
3.9%Transit barriers
4.4%No health insurance
11.2%Frequent mental distress
23.0%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in DC Ranch

The voucher gap is 37.7%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

At $2,686 a month, rents run 33% over what the rest of Scottsdale commands. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.

On the high side, supply constraint reads 8.8/10. Food insecurity runs 5.9% against 17.8% nationally. Housing insecurity runs 4.7% against 14.2% nationally.

It sits 0.7 points below the Maricopa County average of 3.7. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

At 20% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 1.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

Annual rent works out to 18% of average household income of $175,694.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013216855

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013216855?

Census tract 04013216855 in the DC Ranch neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 04013216855?

Median gross rent is $2,686/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 14% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013216855?

8.8% of residents in tract 04013216855 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,687.

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013216855?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 10th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 3th, household 30th, minority 30th, housing 24th.

Is tract 04013216855 considered part of DC Ranch?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013216855 fall within DC Ranch (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 04013216855 struggle to pay rent?

About 4.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 04013216855 compare to Scottsdale overall?

Tract 04013216855 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Scottsdale at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Scottsdale eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Scottsdale

Top eight tracts in Scottsdale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.