Tempe Cascade Eviction Risk: Moderate , Mesa

24% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.2/10. Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.9 points.

At $1,218 a month, rents run 30% under what the rest of Tempe commands. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. The poverty rate is 21%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

The filing record is not thin: 212 evictions over 5 years of observation. Cost burden runs 50% here against 46.0% across Maricopa County. Filings peaked in 2005 at 13.7% of renter households.

In a typical year about 23.4% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #22,681 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the AZ average is 3.8, so this tract runs 1.8 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.