Tempe Cascade Eviction Risk: Lower , Mesa
Tract 04013421202 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,576 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi
Tract 04013421202 sits in the Tempe eviction risk Cascade area of Mesa eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.7/10. Population here is 3,576. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Mesa and the region
Centroid at 33.4270, -111.8633 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tempe Cascade scores 3.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Tempe Cascade compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 67
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 60%Socioeconomic
- 29%Household composition
- 64%Racial/ethnic minority
- 84%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 394Total filings over 5 yrs
- 8.13%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.7%Peak (2001)
- 67Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Tempe Cascade. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.5%Housing insecurity
- 7.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 17.4%Food insecurity
- 12.1%SNAP enrollment
- 9.5%Transit barriers
- 14.3%No health insurance
- 16.4%Frequent mental distress
- 29.5%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Tempe Cascade
Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10. Severe burden reaches 23%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
At $1,124 a month, rents run 31% under what the rest of Mesa commands. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. Court records carry 394 eviction filings across 5 observed years.
The worst year on record was 2001, when 9.7% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 8.1% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 35th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Against average income of $83,281, annual rent is just 16%.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for about half of renters. It tracks the Maricopa County average of 3.7 closely.
29% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
About tract 04013421202
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013421202?
What is the average rent in tract 04013421202?
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013421202?
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013421202?
Is tract 04013421202 considered part of Tempe Cascade?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013421202?
What share of households in tract 04013421202 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 04013421202 compare to Mesa overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Mesa
Top eight tracts in Mesa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.