Tempe Cascade Eviction Risk: Moderate , Mesa
Tract 04013421201 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 5,321 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
With a score of 4.5/10, tract 04013421201 in the Tempe Cascade area of Mesa, AZ reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,321 residents. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Mesa and the region
Centroid at 33.4339, -111.8724 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tempe Cascade scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Tempe Cascade compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 31
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 44%Socioeconomic
- 11%Household composition
- 63%Racial/ethnic minority
- 32%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 858Total filings over 5 yrs
- 26.98%Avg annual filing rate
- 44.5%Peak (2001)
- 97Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Tempe Cascade. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.5%Housing insecurity
- 7.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 16.0%Food insecurity
- 10.9%SNAP enrollment
- 9.6%Transit barriers
- 11.7%No health insurance
- 17.8%Frequent mental distress
- 26.0%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Tempe Cascade
Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. This is renter territory: 65% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
Against Maricopa County at 46.0%, 38% of renters here are cost-burdened. Running cool, state political climate reads 2.2/10. 11% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
The poverty rate is 19%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Court records carry 858 eviction filings across 5 observed years. It sits 0.8 points above the Maricopa County average of 3.7.
The worst year on record was 2001, when 44.5% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 27.0% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 51st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Social vulnerability reads 3.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
Average gross rent is $1,545, close to the Mesa average.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
About tract 04013421201
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013421201?
What is the average rent in tract 04013421201?
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013421201?
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013421201?
Is tract 04013421201 considered part of Tempe Cascade?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013421201?
What share of households in tract 04013421201 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 04013421201 compare to Mesa overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Mesa
Top eight tracts in Mesa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.