Tempe Cascade Eviction Risk: Lower , Mesa
Tract 04013421304 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 4,099 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
How risky is Tempe Cascade in Mesa for landlords? Census tract 04013421304 scores 5.1/10, the Moderate tier. On the national scale it ranks #47,357 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 64% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,481 a month while the average household earns $48,924 a year, roughly 36% of income at the averages. About 97% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Mesa and the region
Centroid at 33.4111, -111.8722 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tempe Cascade scores 3.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Tempe Cascade compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 78
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 74%Socioeconomic
- 36%Household composition
- 74%Racial/ethnic minority
- 88%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,744Total filings over 5 yrs
- 68.80%Avg annual filing rate
- 104.3%Peak (2005)
- 478Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Tempe Cascade. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.9%Housing insecurity
- 9.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 20.9%Food insecurity
- 14.7%SNAP enrollment
- 12.3%Transit barriers
- 14.3%No health insurance
- 19.4%Frequent mental distress
- 28.2%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Tempe Cascade
What moves this score most is economic stress at 3.2/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Mesa eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Maricopa County average of 5.1 and in line with the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 78th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
In CDC survey modeling, about 15.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 9.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
About tract 04013421304
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013421304?
What is the average rent in tract 04013421304?
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013421304?
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013421304?
Is tract 04013421304 considered part of Tempe Cascade?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013421304?
What share of households in tract 04013421304 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 04013421304 compare to Mesa overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Mesa
Top eight tracts in Mesa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.