Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Rancho de Arboleda Eviction Risk: Lower , Mesa
Tract 04013420301 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 1,957 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Tract 04013420301 sits in the Rancho de Arboleda area of Mesa eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. It is home to 1,957 residents. Severe burden reaches 34%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6%
Stable renters 7%
Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units590
Renter share13.6%
SVI overall0.30
Poverty rate5.0%
Median income$161,111
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
28
th percentile
Low
Within county
22
th percentile
Low
Within state
40
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Mesa and the region
Centroid at 33.4576, -111.7938 · click any tract to drill in
Why Rancho de Arboleda scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Mesa
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
5.0% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$1,007 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mesa
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
How Rancho de Arboleda compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 30
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 2%Socioeconomic
- 56%Household composition
- 36%Racial/ethnic minority
- 77%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 154Total filings over 5 yrs
- 26.45%Avg annual filing rate
- 31.3%Peak (2001)
- 38Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Rancho de Arboleda. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.3%Housing insecurity
- 3.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.6%Food insecurity
- 4.8%SNAP enrollment
- 4.9%Transit barriers
- 6.4%No health insurance
- 12.8%Frequent mental distress
- 23.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Rancho de Arboleda
At $1,007 a month, rents run 38% under what the rest of Mesa commands. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. Food insecurity runs 7.6% against 17.8% nationally.
The filing record is not thin: 154 evictions over 5 years of observation. Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.7% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The worst year on record was 2001, when 31.3% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 26.4% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 14% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
Social vulnerability reads 3.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013420301
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013420301?
Census tract 04013420301 in the Rancho de Arboleda neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013420301?
Median gross rent is $1,007/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013420301?
5.0% of residents in tract 04013420301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,957.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013420301?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 30th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 2th, household 56th, minority 36th, housing 77th.
Q5
Is tract 04013420301 considered part of Rancho de Arboleda?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013420301 fall within Rancho de Arboleda (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013420301?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 154 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013420301 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 26.45% of renter households, peaking at 31.3% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013420301 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013420301 compare to Mesa overall?
Tract 04013420301 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Mesa at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mesa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Mesa
Top eight tracts in Mesa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
04013421901
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Hohokam Village
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013421902
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013422001
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013522802
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
McQueen
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013421302
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013422102
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
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