3 census tracts · pop 10,822 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.9/10 · range 4.6–5.1
Rancho de Arboleda is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Mesa with 3 census tracts and a population of 10,822 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.9/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 58% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 25% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Median gross rent of $1,536/month sits 5% lower than the Mesa citywide median ($1,620).
Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 4.6–5.1
Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).
Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square — click to drill in.
Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.
| Tract↕ | Score↕ | Pop↕ | % over 30% on rent↕ | Average rent↕ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04013420302 | 5.1 | 4,837 | 55% | $1,603 |
| 04013420603 | 4.9 | 4,028 | 66% | $1,713 |
| 04013420301 | 4.6 | 1,957 | 45% | $1,007 |
Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.
Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
Rancho de Arboleda scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Rancho de Arboleda scores 1.8 points higher than Mesa overall (3.1/10). Renters spend 58% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Median rent: $1,536 vs $1,620.
Median gross rent in Rancho de Arboleda is $1,536/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
21% of Rancho de Arboleda households are renter-occupied (vs 36% in Mesa). The neighborhood has 10,822 residents.
Rancho de Arboleda sits in the 45th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
The highest-risk constituent tract in Rancho de Arboleda is census tract 04013420302 (score 5.1/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.6 to 5.1 — a spread of 0.5 points.
Rancho de Arboleda carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.9/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Mesa as a whole (3.1/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Rancho de Arboleda has 10,807 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (76.9%), Other / Multiracial (8.6%), Hispanic / Latino (7.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Rancho de Arboleda.
