3 census tracts · pop 10,822 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10
· range 3–3
Rancho de Arboleda takes in 3 census tracts of Mesa, AZ, population 10,822. Scored across those inputs it reaches 3/10, placing it in the Lower tier. Against a Mesa baseline of 32.3%, 58% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.
Pulling the other way is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. 25% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.
Running cool is economic stress, at 2/10. Court records carry 616 eviction filings across its 3 observed tracts.
On the softer side is tenant-organizing strength, at 2.5/10. SNAP participation is 6.5% of households versus 15.2% nationally. The worst year on record was 2003, when filings touched 32.8% of renter households.
Food insecurity affects 9.6% of adults, 8.2 points below the national rate. Recent filings have not receded much: 22.8% in 2005 against a 32.8% peak.
That places it #20 of 33 neighborhoods in Mesa. Only 21% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
3
Lower
3 tracts · population-weighted
Rancho de Arboleda vs MesaHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority40%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport84%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Rancho de Arboleda
Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
616Total filings (sum)
22.52%Avg annual filing rate
32.8%Peak year (2003)
18.17%Latest filed (2005)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Rancho de Arboleda
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
7.8%Housing insecurity
4.7%Utility shutoff threat
10.0%Food insecurity
6.9%SNAP enrollment
7.9%No health insurance
26.4%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Rancho de Arboleda
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Rancho de Arboleda?
Rancho de Arboleda scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Rancho de Arboleda compare to Mesa overall?
Rancho de Arboleda scores 0.2 points lower than Mesa overall (3.2/10). Renters spend 58% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,536 vs $1,620.
Q3
What is the average rent in Rancho de Arboleda?
Average gross rent in Rancho de Arboleda is $1,536/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Rancho de Arboleda residents are renters?
21% of Rancho de Arboleda households are renter-occupied (vs 36% in Mesa). The neighborhood has 10,822 residents.
Q5
Is Rancho de Arboleda a high social-vulnerability area?
Rancho de Arboleda sits in the 45th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Rancho de Arboleda have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Rancho de Arboleda is census tract 04013420302 (score 3/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 3, a spread of 0 points.
Q7
How safe is Rancho de Arboleda for landlords?
Rancho de Arboleda carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Mesa as a whole (3.2/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Rancho de Arboleda?
Rancho de Arboleda has 10,807 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (76.9%), Other / Multiracial (8.6%), Hispanic / Latino (7.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
