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Neighborhood · Ranked #74,843 of 84,120 nationally

Summer Mesa Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 04013422513 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 4,891 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Census tract 04013422513 sits in the Summer Mesa neighborhood of Mesa, Arizona. It has a population of 4,891 and an eviction-risk score of 3.9/10 (Lower tier). 18% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 13% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $1,794/month against a median household income of $108,015 — roughly 20% rent-to-income at the medians.

Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 18% Owners 78%
Tract context
Occupied units1,658
Renter share21.4%
SVI overall0.63
Poverty rate1.9%
Median income$108,015

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank — 50th percentileBottomTop
#1 of 1 tracts In Summer Mesa
Moderate
Within parent city
2 th percentile
Rank — 2th percentileBottomTop
#131 of 133 tracts In Mesa
Very Low
Within county
2 th percentile
Rank — 2th percentileBottomTop
#988 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Very Low
Within state
10 th percentile
Rank — 10th percentileBottomTop
#1,598 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Mesa and the region

Centroid at 33.4024, -111.7451 · click any tract to drill in

Why Summer Mesa scores 3.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Mesa
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
1.9% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,794 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mesa
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mesa
2.5

How Summer Mesa compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Summer Mesa risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.93.9This tracttract 422513Mesa: 3.13.1Mesaparent cityCounty: 5.15.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.94.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 63

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 54Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 6.24%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.9%Peak (2005)
  • 15Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 — 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040134225132001: 12 filings (7.79/100 renter HHs)2002: 12 filings (7.79/100 renter HHs)2003: 3 filings (1.95/100 renter HHs)2004: 12 filings (7.79/100 renter HHs)2005: 15 filings (5.88/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 25% over the past 5 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013422513

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013422513?

Census tract 04013422513 in the Summer Mesa neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013422513?

Median gross rent is $1,794/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 18% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013422513?

1.9% of residents in tract 04013422513 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,891.

Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013422513?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 63th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 36th, household 81th, minority 46th, housing 79th.

Q5

Is tract 04013422513 considered part of Summer Mesa?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013422513 fall within Summer Mesa (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013422513?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 54 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013422513 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.24% of renter households, peaking at 5.9% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Q7

What share of households in tract 04013422513 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.5% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

Q8

How does tract 04013422513 compare to Mesa overall?

Tract 04013422513 scores 3.9/10 — higher than the parent city of Mesa at 3.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mesa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Mesa

Top eight tracts in Mesa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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