Summer Mesa Eviction Risk: Lower

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. Running cool is economic stress, at 1/10. Severe burden reaches 13%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

Court records for this tract carry 54 eviction filings. On the softer side is tenant-organizing strength, at 2.5/10. SNAP participation is 6.4% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

The worst year on record was 2005, when filings touched 5.9% of renter households. At $1,794 a month, rents sit 11% over what the rest of Mesa commands. That places it #20 of 33 neighborhoods in Mesa.

Judgments average 2.6% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. At 21% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out.

For a like-for-like read, Eastmark and Rancho de Arboleda score within a fraction of it. Rent takes 20% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 3/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.