Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Ocotillo Eviction Risk: Lower , Chandler

Tract 04013813000 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 5,793 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

04013813000 is a census tract in the Ocotillo area of Chandler, AZ. It scores 3/10 for landlords. Population here is 5,793. Against Maricopa County at 46.0%, 19% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1% Stable renters 5% Owners 94%
Tract context
Occupied units2,209
Renter share5.7%
SVI overall0.12
Poverty rate3.7%
Median income$163,859

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In Ocotillo
Very High
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#61 of 61 tracts In Chandler
Very Low
Within county
6 th percentile
Rank, 6th percentileLowHigh
#952 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Very Low
Within state
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#1,065 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chandler and the region

Centroid at 33.2341, -111.8513 · click any tract to drill in

Why Ocotillo scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chandler
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
3.7% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,418 rent vs county FMR
7.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chandler
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chandler
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chandler
2.0

How Ocotillo compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Ocotillo risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.03.0This tracttract 813000Chandler: 3.23.2Chandlerparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 12

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 11Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 1.44%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.2%Peak (2001)
  • 2Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040138130002001: 6 filings (4.20/100 renter HHs)2002: 1 filings (0.70/100 renter HHs)2003: 1 filings (0.70/100 renter HHs)2004: 1 filings (0.70/100 renter HHs)2005: 2 filings (0.91/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 67% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Ocotillo. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Ocotillo

Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.

At $2,418 a month, rents run 27% over what the rest of Chandler commands. The severe-burden share is 19%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

The voucher gap is 24.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Food insecurity runs 6.7% against 17.8% nationally. Court records carry 11 eviction filings across 5 observed years.

Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 2.9% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

The worst year on record was 2001, when 4.2% of renter households were served.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013813000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013813000?

Census tract 04013813000 in the Ocotillo neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013813000?

Median gross rent is $2,418/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 19% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013813000?

3.7% of residents in tract 04013813000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,793.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013813000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 12th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 4th, household 83th, minority 61th, housing 3th.
Q5

Is tract 04013813000 considered part of Ocotillo?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013813000 fall within Ocotillo (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013813000?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 11 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013813000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.44% of renter households, peaking at 4.2% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013813000 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 2.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013813000 compare to Chandler overall?

Tract 04013813000 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Chandler at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chandler eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chandler

Top eight tracts in Chandler ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related