Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Ocotillo Eviction Risk: Lower , Chandler
Tract 04013813000 ·
Maricopa, AZ · pop 5,793 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
04013813000 is a census tract in the Ocotillo area of Chandler, AZ. It scores 3/10 for landlords. Population here is 5,793. Against Maricopa County at 46.0%, 19% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1%Stable renters 5%Owners 94%
Tract context
Occupied units2,209
Renter share5.7%
SVI overall0.12
Poverty rate3.7%
Median income$163,859
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100th percentile
#1 of 4 tracts In Ocotillo
Very High
Within parent city
0th percentile
#61 of 61 tracts In Chandler
Very Low
Within county
6th percentile
#952 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Very Low
Within state
40th percentile
#1,065 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chandler and the region
Centroid at 33.2341, -111.8513 · click any tract to drill in
Why Ocotillo scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chandler
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
3.7% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,418 rent vs county FMR
7.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chandler
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chandler
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chandler
2.0
How Ocotillo compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 12
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
4%Socioeconomic
83%Household composition
61%Racial/ethnic minority
3%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
5.0%Housing insecurity
2.9%Utility-shutoff threat
6.7%Food insecurity
3.8%SNAP enrollment
4.0%Transit barriers
5.5%No health insurance
10.3%Frequent mental distress
23.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Ocotillo
Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.
At $2,418 a month, rents run 27% over what the rest of Chandler commands. The severe-burden share is 19%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
The voucher gap is 24.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Food insecurity runs 6.7% against 17.8% nationally. Court records carry 11 eviction filings across 5 observed years.
Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 2.9% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
The worst year on record was 2001, when 4.2% of renter households were served.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013813000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013813000?
Census tract 04013813000 in the Ocotillo neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013813000?
Median gross rent is $2,418/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 19% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013813000?
3.7% of residents in tract 04013813000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,793.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013813000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 12th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 4th, household 83th, minority 61th, housing 3th.
Q5
Is tract 04013813000 considered part of Ocotillo?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013813000 fall within Ocotillo (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013813000?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 11 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013813000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.44% of renter households, peaking at 4.2% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013813000 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 2.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013813000 compare to Chandler overall?
Tract 04013813000 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Chandler at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chandler eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chandler
Top eight tracts in Chandler ranked by composite eviction-risk score.