Neighborhood · Chandler, AZ

Ocotillo Eviction Risk: Lower

4 census tracts · pop 17,325 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 1.3/10 · range 1.2–1.4

Ocotillo is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Chandler with 4 census tracts and a population of 17,325 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 1.3/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 39% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 25% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $2,712/month sits 43% higher than the Chandler citywide average ($1,902).

Risk score

1.3

Lower

4 tracts · population-weighted

Ocotillo vs Chandler How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

38.9% +37%

Chandler: 28.4%

Average gross rent

$2,712 +43%

Chandler: $1,902

Average HH income

$167,907 +62%

Chandler: $103,691

Poverty rate

3.0% -61%

Chandler: 7.7%

Renter share

7.9% -77%

Chandler: 35.0%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Ocotillo and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 1.2–1.4

Why Ocotillo scores 1.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts

2.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts

5.1

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 2.5–3.0 across tracts

2.7

Rent control risk

39% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts

2.5

Tenant organizing strength

8% renter households · Range 1.5–2.0 across tracts

1.7

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts

2.0

Economic stress

3.0% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.4 across tracts

1.1

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 6.9–10.0 across tracts

8.1

Risk score comparison

Ocotillo vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Ocotillo?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 0.2 points from 1.2 to 1.4. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.

Tracts as heat grid

1.4 1.3 1.2 1.2

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

4 tracts in Ocotillo

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
04013816005	1.4	4,201	36%	$2,492
04013816003	1.3	2,684	60%	$2,327
04013813000	1.2	5,793	19%	$2,418
04013816002	1.2	4,647	55%	$3,501

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 12

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 11%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 51%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 51%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 10%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Ocotillo

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

11Total filings (sum)
1.44%Avg annual filing rate
4.2%Peak year (2001)
0.91%Latest filed (2005)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Ocotillo

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

6.8%Housing insecurity
3.9%Utility shutoff threat
8.3%Food insecurity
5.0%SNAP enrollment
6.5%No health insurance
22.0%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Ocotillo

What is the eviction-risk score for Ocotillo?

Ocotillo scores 1.3/10 (Lower tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Ocotillo compare to Chandler overall?

Ocotillo scores 1.2 points lower than Chandler overall (2.5/10). Renters spend 39% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $2,712 vs $1,902.

What is the average rent in Ocotillo?

Average gross rent in Ocotillo is $2,712/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Ocotillo residents are renters?

8% of Ocotillo households are renter-occupied (vs 35% in Chandler). The neighborhood has 17,325 residents.

Is Ocotillo a high social-vulnerability area?

Ocotillo sits in the 12th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Ocotillo have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Ocotillo is census tract 04013816005 (score 1.4/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 1.2 to 1.4, a spread of 0.2 points.

How safe is Ocotillo for landlords?

Ocotillo carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (1.3/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Chandler as a whole (2.5/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Ocotillo?

Ocotillo has 18,103 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (64.3%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (17.3%), Hispanic / Latino (10%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Ocotillo

1.3 Sun Groves 2 tracts · pop 10,448 2 Sunbird Golf Resort 2 tracts · pop 6,929 1.3 Serape 3 tracts · pop 13,092 1.3 Arboreta 3 tracts · pop 12,060 1.7 The Bridges at Gilbert 3 tracts · pop 10,983 1.4 Santana 2 tracts · pop 6,968

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Chandler

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Ocotillo.

1.3 Sun Groves 2 tracts · pop 10,448 1.3 Crestview Chateaux 1 tracts · pop 5,955 1.3 The Trails 1 tracts · pop 2,219 1.3 Laguna Cove 1 tracts · pop 3,350 1.3 Serape 3 tracts · pop 13,092 1.4 Stillwater Cove 1 tracts · pop 6,641

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