Ocotillo Eviction Risk: Lower
4 census tracts · pop 17,325 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10 · range 3–3
Ocotillo is a 4-tract neighborhood of Chandler, AZ, population 17,325. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 3/10, in the Lower tier. The voucher gap is 39.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.
At $2,712 a month, rents sit 43% over what the rest of Chandler commands. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10.
Cost burden runs 39% against 28.4% citywide, putting Ocotillo 10.5% over its own city. Severe burden reaches 25%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.
On the softer side is economic stress, at 1.1/10. Well under the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength, at 1.7/10.
The filing record is not thin: 11 evictions logged in this tract. SNAP participation is 5.3% of households versus 15.2% nationally.
4.1% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, below a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Filing activity peaked in 2001 at 4.2% of renter households.
The most recent observed rate, 0.9% in 2005, is well off that peak. Among the 34 mapped neighborhoods of Chandler, it ranks #10 by risk, the upper third.
At 8% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out.
With little internal variation, 3/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk
Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Risk heat across Ocotillo and the region
Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 3–3
Why Ocotillo scores 3
9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendlyOcotillo vs. parent city, state, U.S.
Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).
How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Ocotillo?
Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.
4 tracts in Ocotillo
Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.
| Tract↕ | Score↕ | Pop↕ | % over 30% on rent↕ | Average rent↕ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04013813000 | 3 | 5,793 | 19% | $2,418 |
| 04013816002 | 3 | 4,647 | 55% | $3,501 |
| 04013816005 | 3 | 4,201 | 36% | $2,492 |
| 04013816003 | 3 | 2,684 | 60% | $2,327 |
CDC SVI percentile: 12
Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.
Court-record eviction history in Ocotillo
Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 11Total filings (sum)
- 1.44%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.2%Peak year (2001)
- 0.91%Latest filed (2005)
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Ocotillo
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
- 6.8%Housing insecurity
- 3.9%Utility shutoff threat
- 8.3%Food insecurity
- 5.0%SNAP enrollment
- 6.5%No health insurance
- 22.0%Any disability
About Ocotillo
How does Ocotillo compare to Chandler overall?
What is the average rent in Ocotillo?
What percentage of Ocotillo residents are renters?
Is Ocotillo a high social-vulnerability area?
Which tracts in Ocotillo have the highest eviction risk?
How safe is Ocotillo for landlords?
What is the demographic breakdown of Ocotillo?
Other neighborhoods near Ocotillo
Other neighborhoods inside Chandler
Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Ocotillo.