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Neighborhood · Chandler, AZ

Ocotillo Eviction Risk: Moderate

4 census tracts · pop 17,325 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.5/10 · range 4.0–5.0

Ocotillo is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Chandler with 4 census tracts and a population of 17,325 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.5/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 39% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 25% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Median gross rent of $2,712/month sits 43% higher than the Chandler citywide median ($1,902).

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
4 tracts · population-weighted
Ocotillo vs Chandler How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
38.9% +37%
Chandler: 28.4%
Average gross rent
$2,712 +43%
Chandler: $1,902
Average HH income
$167,907 +62%
Chandler: $103,691
Poverty rate
3.0% -61%
Chandler: 7.7%
Renter share
7.9% -77%
Chandler: 35.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Ocotillo and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 4.0–5.0

Why Ocotillo scores 4.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 2.5–3.0 across tracts
2.7
Rent control risk
39% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
8% renter households · Range 1.5–2.0 across tracts
1.7
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Economic stress
3.0% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.4 across tracts
1.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 6.9–10.0 across tracts
8.1
Risk score comparison

Ocotillo vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Ocotillo score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Ocotillo: 4.54.5OcotilloNeighborhoodParent city: 2.72.7Parent cityhost cityState: 4.04.0Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.35.3U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Ocotillo?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square — click to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.0 points from 4.0 to 5.0. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

4 tracts in Ocotillo

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
04013816002 5.0 4,647 55% $3,501
04013816003 4.9 2,684 60% $2,327
04013816005 4.5 4,201 36% $2,492
04013813000 4.0 5,793 19% $2,418
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 12

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 11%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 51%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 51%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 10%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Ocotillo

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 11Total filings (sum)
  • 1.44%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.2%Peak year (2001)
  • 0.91%Latest filed (2005)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Ocotillo

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Ocotillo

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Ocotillo?

Ocotillo scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

Q2

How does Ocotillo compare to Chandler overall?

Ocotillo scores 1.8 points higher than Chandler overall (2.7/10). Renters spend 39% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Median rent: $2,712 vs $1,902.

Q3

What is the average rent in Ocotillo?

Median gross rent in Ocotillo is $2,712/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q4

What percentage of Ocotillo residents are renters?

8% of Ocotillo households are renter-occupied (vs 35% in Chandler). The neighborhood has 17,325 residents.

Q5

Is Ocotillo a high social-vulnerability area?

Ocotillo sits in the 12th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Q6

Which tracts in Ocotillo have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Ocotillo is census tract 04013816002 (score 5.0/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.0 to 5.0 — a spread of 1.0 points.

Q7

How safe is Ocotillo for landlords?

Ocotillo carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.5/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Chandler as a whole (2.7/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Ocotillo?

Ocotillo has 18,103 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (64.3%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (17.3%), Hispanic / Latino (10%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Ocotillo

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Chandler

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Ocotillo.

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