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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Ocotillo Eviction Risk: Lower , Chandler

Tract 04013816003 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 2,684 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Census tract 04013816003 covers part of the Ocotillo area of Chandler, AZ, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Cost burden runs 60% here against 46.0% across Maricopa County.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 3% Owners 93%
Tract context
Occupied units763
Renter share6.6%
SVI overall0.41
Poverty rate0.5%
Median income$202,750

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 4 tracts In Ocotillo
Low
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#61 of 61 tracts In Chandler
Very Low
Within county
2 th percentile
Rank, 2nd percentileLowHigh
#987 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Very Low
Within state
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#1,065 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chandler and the region

Centroid at 33.2412, -111.7554 · click any tract to drill in

Why Ocotillo scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chandler
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
0.5% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,327 rent vs county FMR
6.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chandler
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chandler
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chandler
2.0

How Ocotillo compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Ocotillo risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 8160033.2Chandlerparent city3.7Countyavg tract in county3.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 41

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Ocotillo. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Ocotillo

Severe burden reaches 28%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. At $2,327 a month, rents run 22% over what the rest of Chandler commands. The voucher gap is 19.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

SNAP participation runs 7.1% against 15.2% nationally. It sits 0.7 points below the Maricopa County average of 3.7. Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

At 7% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.7/10.

Rent consumes only 14% of average household income of $202,750, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Poverty sits at 1%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013816003

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013816003?

Census tract 04013816003 in the Ocotillo neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013816003?

Median gross rent is $2,327/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013816003?

0.5% of residents in tract 04013816003 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,684.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013816003?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 41th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 29th, household 54th, minority 50th, housing 49th.
Q5

Is tract 04013816003 considered part of Ocotillo?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013816003 fall within Ocotillo (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 04013816003 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 04013816003 compare to Chandler overall?

Tract 04013816003 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Chandler at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chandler eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chandler

Top eight tracts in Chandler ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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