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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Serape Eviction Risk: Lower , Chandler

Tract 04013813100 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,928 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

04013813100 is a census tract in the Serape area of Chandler, AZ. It scores 3/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,928. Cost burden runs 11% here against 46.0% across Maricopa County.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1% Stable renters 6% Owners 93%
Tract context
Occupied units1,295
Renter share6.3%
SVI overall0.07
Poverty rate7.6%
Median income$174,313

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Serape
Very High
Within parent city
8 th percentile
Rank, 8th percentileLowHigh
#56 of 61 tracts In Chandler
Very Low
Within county
6 th percentile
Rank, 6th percentileLowHigh
#953 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Very Low
Within state
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#1,065 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chandler and the region

Centroid at 33.2404, -111.8326 · click any tract to drill in

Why Serape scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chandler
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
7.6% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$2,625 rent vs county FMR
8.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chandler
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chandler
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chandler
2.0

How Serape compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Serape risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.03.0This tracttract 813100Chandler: 3.23.2Chandlerparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 7

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 2.59%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.6%Peak (2005)
  • 2Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040138131002001: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2002: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2003: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2004: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2005: 2 filings (2.59/100 renter HHs)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Serape. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Serape

Average gross rent is $2,625, 38% above the Chandler average. The voucher gap is 34.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, supply constraint reads 8.5/10. SNAP participation runs 4.8% against 15.2% nationally.

11% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Food insecurity runs 8.2% against 17.8% nationally. Court records carry 2 eviction filings across 1 observed years.

It sits 0.7 points below the Maricopa County average of 3.7. Filings peaked in 2005 at 2.6% of renter households.

In a typical year about 2.6% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013813100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013813100?

Census tract 04013813100 in the Serape neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013813100?

Median gross rent is $2,625/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 11% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013813100?

7.6% of residents in tract 04013813100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,928.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013813100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 7th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 4th, household 49th, minority 58th, housing 4th.
Q5

Is tract 04013813100 considered part of Serape?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013813100 fall within Serape (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013813100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 04013813100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.59% of renter households, peaking at 2.6% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013813100 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013813100 compare to Chandler overall?

Tract 04013813100 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Chandler at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chandler eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chandler

Top eight tracts in Chandler ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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