Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Serape Eviction Risk: Lower , Chandler
Tract 04013813200 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 4,720 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
Census tract 04013813200 covers part of the Serape area of Chandler, AZ, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,720 residents. Against Maricopa County at 46.0%, 17% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1%
Stable renters 5%
Owners 94%
Tract context
Occupied units1,440
Renter share6.3%
SVI overall0.04
Poverty rate1.7%
Median income$210,882
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
72
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
6
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
40
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chandler and the region
Centroid at 33.2407, -111.8153 · click any tract to drill in
Why Serape scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chandler
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
1.7% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,139 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chandler
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chandler
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chandler
2.0
How Serape compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 4
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 3%Socioeconomic
- 19%Household composition
- 57%Racial/ethnic minority
- 5%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 8Total filings over 4 yrs
- 8.22%Avg annual filing rate
- 23.1%Peak (2004)
- 1Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Serape. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.1%Housing insecurity
- 3.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.2%Food insecurity
- 3.9%SNAP enrollment
- 4.5%Transit barriers
- 5.6%No health insurance
- 11.9%Frequent mental distress
- 18.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Serape
What pushes it up most is supply constraint at 10/10. Average gross rent is $3,139, 65% above the Chandler average. The voucher gap is 61.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10. SNAP participation runs 3.9% against 15.2% nationally.
Court records carry 8 eviction filings across 4 observed years. Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.5% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
The worst year on record was 2004, when 23.1% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 8.2% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013813200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013813200?
Census tract 04013813200 in the Serape neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013813200?
Median gross rent is $3,139/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 17% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013813200?
1.7% of residents in tract 04013813200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,720.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013813200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 4th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 3th, household 19th, minority 57th, housing 5th.
Q5
Is tract 04013813200 considered part of Serape?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013813200 fall within Serape (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013813200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 8 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 04013813200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.22% of renter households, peaking at 23.1% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013813200 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013813200 compare to Chandler overall?
Tract 04013813200 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Chandler at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chandler eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chandler
Top eight tracts in Chandler ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
04013522903
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013523002
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013523102
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013522904
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Carrizal
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Hightown
3.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
New Horizons
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
04013523008
3.6
/ 10 · Low
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