Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #47,371 of 84,120 nationally
Silvercroft Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tucson
Tract 04019004413 · Pima, AZ · pop 3,280 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
With a score of 4.1/10, tract 04019004413 in the Silvercroft area of Tucson, AZ reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Cost burden runs 27% here against 43.8% across Pima County.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3%
Stable renters 9%
Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units1,517
Renter share12.9%
SVI overall0.50
Poverty rate17.6%
Median income$78,385
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
38
th percentile
Low
Within county
61
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
66
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tucson and the region
Centroid at 32.2431, -111.0297 · click any tract to drill in
Why Silvercroft scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Tucson
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
17.6% poverty · this tract
4.4
Supply constraint
$1,461 rent vs county FMR
5.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tucson
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tucson
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tucson
4.5
How Silvercroft compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 50
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 68%Socioeconomic
- 55%Household composition
- 62%Racial/ethnic minority
- 17%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 74Total filings over 12 yrs
- 2.60%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.2%Peak (2013)
- 3Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 40% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Silvercroft. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.3%Housing insecurity
- 5.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.6%Food insecurity
- 6.2%SNAP enrollment
- 6.2%Transit barriers
- 9.5%No health insurance
- 12.9%Frequent mental distress
- 27.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Silvercroft
The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. Average gross rent is $1,461, 28% above the Tucson average.
Running cool, state political climate reads 2.2/10. SNAP participation runs 6.2% against 15.2% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 74 evictions over 12 years of observation.
Food insecurity runs 9.6% against 17.8% nationally. 8% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Filings peaked in 2013 at 5.2% of renter households. In a typical year about 2.6% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 44th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 13% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
It tracks the Pima County average of 3.9 closely.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 04019004413
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019004413?
Census tract 04019004413 in the Silvercroft neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04019004413?
Median gross rent is $1,461/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 27% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04019004413?
17.6% of residents in tract 04019004413 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,280.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04019004413?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 50th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 55th, minority 62th, housing 17th.
Q5
Is tract 04019004413 considered part of Silvercroft?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04019004413 fall within Silvercroft (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019004413?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 74 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 04019004413 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.60% of renter households, peaking at 5.2% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04019004413 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04019004413 compare to Tucson overall?
Tract 04019004413 scores 4.1/10, higher than the parent city of Tucson at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tucson eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tucson
Top eight tracts in Tucson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Dunbar Spring
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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Emery Park
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Twelve Hundred River Condominums
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04019004035
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Keeling
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Poet's Square
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
West University
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Emery Park
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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