Palo Verde Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tucson
Tract 04019002802 · Pima, AZ · pop 4,122 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
Tract 04019002802 sits in the Palo Verde area of Tucson eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.2/10. Population here is 4,122. Against Pima County at 43.8%, 58% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Tucson and the region
Centroid at 32.2614, -110.9183 · click any tract to drill in
Why Palo Verde scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Palo Verde compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 88
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 84%Socioeconomic
- 53%Household composition
- 61%Racial/ethnic minority
- 96%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 2,047Total filings over 12 yrs
- 11.88%Avg annual filing rate
- 15.3%Peak (2004)
- 141Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Palo Verde. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.8%Housing insecurity
- 12.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 20.6%Food insecurity
- 17.8%SNAP enrollment
- 12.3%Transit barriers
- 13.3%No health insurance
- 20.0%Frequent mental distress
- 35.5%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Palo Verde
Severe burden reaches 27%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10. 76% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. The poverty rate is 26%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Against the Pima County average of 3.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.2/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 2,047 filings here across 12 tracked years.
Filings peaked in 2004 at 15.3% of renter households. In a typical year about 11.9% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 65th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.9/10. Statewide the AZ average is 3.8, so this tract runs 1.4 points hotter.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $1,103, close to the Tucson average.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
About tract 04019002802
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019002802?
What is the average rent in tract 04019002802?
What is the poverty rate in tract 04019002802?
How socially vulnerable is tract 04019002802?
Is tract 04019002802 considered part of Palo Verde?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019002802?
What share of households in tract 04019002802 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 04019002802 compare to Tucson overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Tucson
Top eight tracts in Tucson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.