Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally
Palo Verde Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tucson
Tract 04019002802 ·
Pima, AZ · pop 4,122 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
Tract 04019002802 sits in the Palo Verde area of Tucson eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.2/10. Population here is 4,122. Against Pima County at 43.8%, 58% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 44%Stable renters 32%Owners 24%
Tract context
Occupied units2,151
Renter share76.5%
SVI overall0.88
Poverty rate26.4%
Median income$42,219
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
80th percentile
#2 of 6 tracts In Palo Verde
High
Within parent city
92th percentile
#13 of 143 tracts In Tucson
Very High
Within county
96th percentile
#12 of 270 tracts In Pima
Very High
Within state
96th percentile
#72 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tucson and the region
Centroid at 32.2614, -110.9183 · click any tract to drill in
Why Palo Verde scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tucson
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
26.4% poverty · this tract
6.6
Supply constraint
$1,103 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tucson
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tucson
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tucson
4.5
How Palo Verde compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 88
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
84%Socioeconomic
53%Household composition
61%Racial/ethnic minority
96%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
2,047Total filings over 12 yrs
11.88%Avg annual filing rate
15.3%Peak (2004)
141Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year2004 to 2017
Filings dropped 39% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Palo Verde. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
15.8%Housing insecurity
12.0%Utility-shutoff threat
20.6%Food insecurity
17.8%SNAP enrollment
12.3%Transit barriers
13.3%No health insurance
20.0%Frequent mental distress
35.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Palo Verde
Severe burden reaches 27%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10. 76% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. The poverty rate is 26%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Against the Pima County average of 3.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.2/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 2,047 filings here across 12 tracked years.
Filings peaked in 2004 at 15.3% of renter households. In a typical year about 11.9% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 65th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.9/10. Statewide the AZ average is 3.8, so this tract runs 1.4 points hotter.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $1,103, close to the Tucson average.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 04019002802
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019002802?
Census tract 04019002802 in the Palo Verde neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04019002802?
Median gross rent is $1,103/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04019002802?
26.4% of residents in tract 04019002802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,122.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04019002802?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 88th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 53th, minority 61th, housing 96th.
Q5
Is tract 04019002802 considered part of Palo Verde?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04019002802 fall within Palo Verde (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019002802?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,047 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 04019002802 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.88% of renter households, peaking at 15.3% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04019002802 struggle to pay rent?
About 15.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04019002802 compare to Tucson overall?
Tract 04019002802 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Tucson at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tucson eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tucson
Top eight tracts in Tucson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.