Within neighborhood
60
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally
Palo Verde Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tucson
Tract 04019003104 · Pima, AZ · pop 2,865 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
04019003104 is a census tract in the Palo Verde area of Tucson, AZ. It scores 5.2/10 for landlords. Cost burden runs 60% here against 43.8% across Pima County.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 49%
Stable renters 33%
Owners 18%
Tract context
Occupied units1,460
Renter share81.6%
SVI overall0.94
Poverty rate18.2%
Median income$35,325
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
78
th percentile
High
Within county
88
th percentile
High
Within state
96
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tucson and the region
Centroid at 32.2393, -110.9101 · click any tract to drill in
Why Palo Verde scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Tucson
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
18.2% poverty · this tract
4.6
Supply constraint
$934 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tucson
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tucson
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tucson
4.5
How Palo Verde compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 94
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 93%Socioeconomic
- 47%Household composition
- 72%Racial/ethnic minority
- 99%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Palo Verde. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 19.2%Housing insecurity
- 15.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 27.8%Food insecurity
- 26.9%SNAP enrollment
- 15.8%Transit barriers
- 16.0%No health insurance
- 21.6%Frequent mental distress
- 41.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Palo Verde
82% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. The severe-burden share is 24%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.8/10.
It sits 1.3 points above the Pima County average of 3.9. SNAP participation runs 26.9% against 15.2% nationally. Average gross rent is $934, 18% below the Tucson average.
Food insecurity runs 27.8% against 17.8% nationally. The poverty rate is 18%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. That is riskier than roughly 65% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 04019003104
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019003104?
Census tract 04019003104 in the Palo Verde neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04019003104?
Median gross rent is $934/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04019003104?
18.2% of residents in tract 04019003104 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,865.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04019003104?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 47th, minority 72th, housing 99th.
Q5
Is tract 04019003104 considered part of Palo Verde?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04019003104 fall within Palo Verde (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 04019003104 struggle to pay rent?
About 19.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 04019003104 compare to Tucson overall?
Tract 04019003104 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Tucson at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tucson eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tucson
Top eight tracts in Tucson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
04019002504
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04019003505
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Barrio Blue Moon
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04019003506
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Miracle Manor
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Palo Verde Park
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Keeling
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Emery Park
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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