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Neighborhood · Ranked #37,882 of 84,120 nationally

Palo Verde Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tucson

Tract 04019001802 · Pima, AZ · pop 2,649 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

With a score of 4.7/10, tract 04019001802 in the Palo Verde area of Tucson, AZ reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,649 residents. The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1/10.

Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33% Stable renters 35% Owners 32%
Tract context
Occupied units1,475
Renter share68.6%
SVI overall0.76
Poverty rate16.6%
Median income$47,008

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 6 tracts In Palo Verde
Moderate
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#72 of 143 tracts In Tucson
Moderate
Within county
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#81 of 270 tracts In Pima
Elevated
Within state
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#373 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Tucson and the region

Centroid at 32.2382, -110.9212 · click any tract to drill in

Why Palo Verde scores 4.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tucson
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
16.6% poverty · this tract
4.1
Supply constraint
$820 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tucson
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tucson
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tucson
4.5

How Palo Verde compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Palo Verde risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.74.7This tracttract 001802Tucson: 3.83.8Tucsonparent cityCounty: 3.93.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 76

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 711Total filings over 12 yrs
  • 5.65%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.1%Peak (2006)
  • 22Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2004 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040190018022004: 60 filings (5.13/100 renter HHs)2005: 91 filings (7.47/100 renter HHs)2006: 98 filings (8.05/100 renter HHs)2007: 91 filings (7.47/100 renter HHs)2008: 61 filings (5.01/100 renter HHs)2009: 35 filings (2.87/100 renter HHs)2010: 40 filings (4.36/100 renter HHs)2011: 56 filings (6.53/100 renter HHs)2012: 57 filings (6.65/100 renter HHs)2013: 58 filings (6.77/100 renter HHs)2016: 42 filings (4.92/100 renter HHs)2017: 22 filings (2.58/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 63% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Palo Verde. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Palo Verde

Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. At $820 a month, rents run 28% under what the rest of Tucson commands. This is renter territory: 69% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. Severe burden reaches 15%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Against Pima County at 43.8%, 49% of renters here are cost-burdened. Court records carry 711 eviction filings across 12 observed years.

It sits 0.8 points above the Pima County average of 3.9. Filings peaked in 2006 at 8.1% of renter households.

In a typical year about 5.7% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #37,882 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the AZ average is 3.8, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $47,008.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 04019001802

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019001802?

Census tract 04019001802 in the Palo Verde neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04019001802?

Median gross rent is $820/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04019001802?

16.6% of residents in tract 04019001802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,649.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04019001802?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 76th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 8th, minority 60th, housing 96th.
Q5

Is tract 04019001802 considered part of Palo Verde?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04019001802 fall within Palo Verde (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019001802?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 711 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 04019001802 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.65% of renter households, peaking at 8.1% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04019001802 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04019001802 compare to Tucson overall?

Tract 04019001802 scores 4.7/10, higher than the parent city of Tucson at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tucson eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tucson

Top eight tracts in Tucson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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