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Neighborhood · Ranked #9,878 of 84,120 nationally

Emery Park Eviction Risk: Elevated , Tucson

Tract 04019003702 · Pima, AZ · pop 7,896 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

Census tract 04019003702 sits in the Emery Park neighborhood of Tucson eviction risk, Arizona eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 6.3/10. It lands near the 84th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 49% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 29% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,029 monthly, set against $40,496 in average yearly household income, roughly 30% of income at the averages. Renters make up 53% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 27% Owners 47%
Tract context
Occupied units2,288
Renter share52.8%
SVI overall1.00
Poverty rate36.5%
Median income$40,496

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 8 tracts In Emery Park
Very High
Within parent city
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#12 of 143 tracts In Tucson
Very High
Within county
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#14 of 270 tracts In Pima
Very High
Within state
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#61 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Tucson and the region

Centroid at 32.1410, -110.9583 · click any tract to drill in

Why Emery Park scores 6.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tucson
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
36.5% poverty · this tract
9.1
Supply constraint
$1,029 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tucson
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tucson
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tucson
4.5

How Emery Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Emery Park risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.26.2This tracttract 003702Tucson: 3.23.2Tucsonparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 100

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2,140Total filings over 12 yrs
  • 17.63%Avg annual filing rate
  • 20.6%Peak (2012)
  • 204Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2004 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040190037022004: 184 filings (19.91/100 renter HHs)2005: 173 filings (16.73/100 renter HHs)2006: 199 filings (19.25/100 renter HHs)2007: 155 filings (14.99/100 renter HHs)2008: 145 filings (14.02/100 renter HHs)2009: 155 filings (14.99/100 renter HHs)2010: 155 filings (13.78/100 renter HHs)2011: 167 filings (16.52/100 renter HHs)2012: 208 filings (20.57/100 renter HHs)2013: 205 filings (20.28/100 renter HHs)2016: 190 filings (19.55/100 renter HHs)2017: 204 filings (20.99/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Emery Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Emery Park

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 9.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Tucson eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Pima County average of 5.5 and above the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 31.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 22.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 100th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 04019003702

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019003702?

Census tract 04019003702 in the Emery Park neighborhood scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04019003702?

Median gross rent is $1,029/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04019003702?

36.5% of residents in tract 04019003702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,896.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04019003702?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 100th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 91th, minority 93th, housing 100th.
Q5

Is tract 04019003702 considered part of Emery Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04019003702 fall within Emery Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019003702?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,140 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 04019003702 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 17.63% of renter households, peaking at 20.6% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04019003702 struggle to pay rent?

About 31.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 22.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04019003702 compare to Tucson overall?

Tract 04019003702 scores 6.2/10, higher than the parent city of Tucson at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tucson eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tucson

Top eight tracts in Tucson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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