Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally
Emery Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tucson
Tract 04019003702 · Pima, AZ · pop 7,896 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Tract 04019003702 sits in the Emery Park area of Tucson eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.2/10. It is home to 7,896 residents. Severe burden reaches 29%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26%
Stable renters 27%
Owners 47%
Tract context
Occupied units2,288
Renter share52.8%
SVI overall1.00
Poverty rate36.5%
Median income$40,496
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
87
th percentile
High
Within county
91
th percentile
Very High
Within state
96
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tucson and the region
Centroid at 32.1410, -110.9583 · click any tract to drill in
Why Emery Park scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Tucson
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
36.5% poverty · this tract
9.1
Supply constraint
$1,029 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tucson
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tucson
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tucson
4.5
How Emery Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 100
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 99%Socioeconomic
- 91%Household composition
- 93%Racial/ethnic minority
- 100%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 2,140Total filings over 12 yrs
- 17.63%Avg annual filing rate
- 20.6%Peak (2012)
- 204Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Emery Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 31.2%Housing insecurity
- 22.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 45.7%Food insecurity
- 40.5%SNAP enrollment
- 23.4%Transit barriers
- 34.6%No health insurance
- 21.1%Frequent mental distress
- 48.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Emery Park
The score leans hardest on economic stress at 9.1/10. The poverty rate is 36%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Disability prevalence runs 48.8% against 31.5% nationally.
On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 22.2% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Against the Pima County average of 3.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points.
Cost burden runs 49% here against 43.8% across Pima County. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 2,140 filings here across 12 tracked years. Average gross rent is $1,029, 10% below the Tucson average.
The worst year on record was 2012, when 20.6% of renter households were served.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 04019003702
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019003702?
Census tract 04019003702 in the Emery Park neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04019003702?
Median gross rent is $1,029/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04019003702?
36.5% of residents in tract 04019003702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,896.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04019003702?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 100th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 91th, minority 93th, housing 100th.
Q5
Is tract 04019003702 considered part of Emery Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04019003702 fall within Emery Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019003702?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,140 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 04019003702 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 17.63% of renter households, peaking at 20.6% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04019003702 struggle to pay rent?
About 31.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 22.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04019003702 compare to Tucson overall?
Tract 04019003702 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Tucson at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tucson eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tucson
Top eight tracts in Tucson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
04019002400
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04019004407
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04019002503
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Vandenberg Village
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Barrio Blue Moon
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04019002504
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Miracle Manor
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04019003505
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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