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Neighborhood · Ranked #15,522 of 84,120 nationally

Emery Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tucson

Tract 04019003705 · Pima, AZ · pop 5,236 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

Tract 04019003705 covers the Emery Park neighborhood of Tucson in Arizona. Home to 5,236 residents, it scores 5.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 44% of renter households, a severe level, and 22% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $936 a month against an average household income of $46,369 a year, roughly 24% of income at the averages. About 47% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 26% Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units1,696
Renter share46.9%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate26.0%
Median income$46,369

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 8 tracts In Emery Park
High
Within parent city
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#35 of 143 tracts In Tucson
High
Within county
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#33 of 270 tracts In Pima
High
Within state
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#164 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Tucson and the region

Centroid at 32.1266, -110.9692 · click any tract to drill in

Why Emery Park scores 5.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tucson
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
26.0% poverty · this tract
6.5
Supply constraint
$936 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tucson
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tucson
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tucson
4.5

How Emery Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Emery Park risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.75.7This tracttract 003705Tucson: 3.23.2Tucsonparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 97

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2,177Total filings over 12 yrs
  • 29.31%Avg annual filing rate
  • 31.9%Peak (2013)
  • 187Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2004 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040190037052004: 100 filings (16.05/100 renter HHs)2005: 155 filings (32.29/100 renter HHs)2006: 199 filings (41.46/100 renter HHs)2007: 162 filings (33.75/100 renter HHs)2008: 208 filings (43.33/100 renter HHs)2009: 172 filings (35.83/100 renter HHs)2010: 148 filings (21.08/100 renter HHs)2011: 194 filings (24.74/100 renter HHs)2012: 215 filings (27.42/100 renter HHs)2013: 250 filings (31.89/100 renter HHs)2016: 187 filings (21.95/100 renter HHs)2017: 187 filings (21.95/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 87% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Emery Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Emery Park

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 6.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Tucson eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Pima County average of 5.5 and above the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 2,177 eviction filings here over 12 tracked years, with about 29.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 31.9% of renter households in 2013.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 97th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04019003705

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019003705?

Census tract 04019003705 in the Emery Park neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04019003705?

Median gross rent is $936/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04019003705?

26.0% of residents in tract 04019003705 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,236.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04019003705?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 96th, minority 94th, housing 82th.
Q5

Is tract 04019003705 considered part of Emery Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04019003705 fall within Emery Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019003705?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,177 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 04019003705 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 29.31% of renter households, peaking at 31.9% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04019003705 struggle to pay rent?

About 24.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04019003705 compare to Tucson overall?

Tract 04019003705 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of Tucson at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tucson eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tucson

Top eight tracts in Tucson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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