Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Pecan Creek Eviction Risk: Lower , San Tan Valley

Tract 04021000219 · Pinal, AZ · pop 3,988 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

With a score of 3/10, tract 04021000219 in the Pecan Creek area of San Tan Valley, AZ reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,988 residents. about one in five of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Pinal County average of 37.6%.

Risk score

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 32% Owners 59%

Tract context

Occupied units1,110

Renter share40.5%

SVI overall0.24

Poverty rate3.2%

Median income$92,417

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across San Tan Valley and the region

Centroid at 33.2434, -111.5563 · click any tract to drill in

Why Pecan Creek scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from San Tan Valley

4.7

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.1

State political climate

Arizona legislature & governorship

2.2

Economic stress

3.2% poverty · this tract

1.0

Supply constraint

$1,822 rent vs county FMR

4.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from San Tan Valley

5.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.6

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from San Tan Valley

4.4

Housing court bias

Inherited from San Tan Valley

4.9

How Pecan Creek compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 24

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

30%Socioeconomic
63%Household composition
65%Racial/ethnic minority
6%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Pecan Creek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

11.0%Housing insecurity
6.8%Utility-shutoff threat
13.3%Food insecurity
7.8%SNAP enrollment
7.3%Transit barriers
11.2%No health insurance
17.1%Frequent mental distress
27.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Pecan Creek

The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 2.2/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 7.4/10.

It sits 0.8 points below the Pinal County average of 3.8. SNAP participation runs 7.8% against 15.2% nationally.

At $1,822 a month, rents run 13% under what the rest of San Tan Valley commands. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.2/10.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $92,417.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 04021000219

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04021000219?

Census tract 04021000219 in the Pecan Creek neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 04021000219?

Median gross rent is $1,822/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 22% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 04021000219?

3.2% of residents in tract 04021000219 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,988.

How socially vulnerable is tract 04021000219?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 24th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 30th, household 63th, minority 65th, housing 6th.

Is tract 04021000219 considered part of Pecan Creek?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04021000219 fall within Pecan Creek (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 04021000219 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 04021000219 compare to San Tan Valley overall?

Tract 04021000219 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of San Tan Valley at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Tan Valley eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Tan Valley

Top eight tracts in San Tan Valley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.