Neighborhood · Ranked #57,812 of 84,120 nationally
Tamaron Eviction Risk: Lower , Casa Grande
Tract 04021001309 ·
Pinal, AZ · pop 5,737 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
With a score of 3.5/10, tract 04021001309 in the Tamaron area of Casa Grande, AZ reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,737 residents. Cost burden runs 62% here against 37.6% across Pinal County.
Risk score
3.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%Stable renters 12%Owners 68%
Tract context
Occupied units2,075
Renter share31.6%
SVI overall0.71
Poverty rate8.3%
Median income$88,326
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
33th percentile
#3 of 4 tracts In Tamaron
Low
Within parent city
21th percentile
#12 of 15 tracts In Casa Grande
Low
Within county
49th percentile
#49 of 95 tracts In Pinal
Moderate
Within state
52th percentile
#847 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Casa Grande and the region
Centroid at 32.9148, -111.7060 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tamaron scores 3.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Casa Grande
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
8.3% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$1,437 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Casa Grande
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Casa Grande
6.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Casa Grande
6.8
How Tamaron compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 71
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
11.8%Housing insecurity
7.4%Utility-shutoff threat
14.8%Food insecurity
8.4%SNAP enrollment
7.6%Transit barriers
12.8%No health insurance
15.5%Frequent mental distress
29.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Tamaron
Severe burden reaches 23%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The clearest offset is eviction-process difficulty at 2/10.
On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.1/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 2.2/10.
That is riskier than roughly 31% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 7.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
It tracks the Pinal County average of 3.8 closely. Average gross rent is $1,437, close to the Casa Grande average. Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $88,326.
32% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 04021001309
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04021001309?
Census tract 04021001309 in the Tamaron neighborhood scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04021001309?
Median gross rent is $1,437/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04021001309?
8.3% of residents in tract 04021001309 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,737.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04021001309?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 58th, household 70th, minority 69th, housing 71th.
Q5
Is tract 04021001309 considered part of Tamaron?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04021001309 fall within Tamaron (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 04021001309 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 04021001309 compare to Casa Grande overall?
Tract 04021001309 scores 3.5/10, lower than the parent city of Casa Grande at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Casa Grande eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Casa Grande
Top eight tracts in Casa Grande ranked by composite eviction-risk score.