Within neighborhood
33
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally
Scraper-Moecherville Eviction Risk: Moderate , Aurora
Tract 17089853500 · Kane County, IL · pop 5,003 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
17089853500 is a census tract in the Scraper-Moecherville area of Aurora, IL. It scores 4.8/10 for landlords. 55% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Kane County average of 45.5%.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23%
Stable renters 19%
Owners 58%
Tract context
Occupied units1,370
Renter share41.3%
SVI overall0.66
Poverty rate10.6%
Median income$78,229
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
53
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
65
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
48
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Aurora and the region
Centroid at 41.7618, -88.2865 · click any tract to drill in
Why Scraper-Moecherville scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Aurora
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
10.6% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$1,414 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Aurora
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Aurora
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Aurora
3.5
How Scraper-Moecherville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 66
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 87%Socioeconomic
- 66%Household composition
- 95%Racial/ethnic minority
- 11%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 92%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 40Total filings over 3 yrs
- 2.69%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.9%Peak (2011)
- 16Filings in 2011 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Scraper-Moecherville. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 26.1%Housing insecurity
- 13.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 31.7%Food insecurity
- 24.4%SNAP enrollment
- 13.9%Transit barriers
- 29.1%No health insurance
- 16.9%Frequent mental distress
- 32.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Scraper-Moecherville
Food insecurity runs 31.7% against 17.8% nationally. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 2.5/10. Housing insecurity runs 26.1% against 14.2% nationally.
13% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Running cool, economic stress reads 2.7/10. Court records carry 40 eviction filings across 3 observed years.
Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 3/10. Against the Kane County average of 4.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.7 points.
Average gross rent is $1,414, 11% below the Aurora average. Filings peaked in 2011 at 2.9% of renter households.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 2.7% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 58% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 17089853500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17089853500?
Census tract 17089853500 in the Scraper-Moecherville neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17089853500?
Median gross rent is $1,414/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17089853500?
10.6% of residents in tract 17089853500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,003.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17089853500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 66th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 87th, household 66th, minority 95th, housing 11th.
Q5
Is tract 17089853500 considered part of Scraper-Moecherville?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17089853500 fall within Scraper-Moecherville (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17089853500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 40 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 17089853500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.69% of renter households, peaking at 2.9% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17089853500 struggle to pay rent?
About 26.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17089853500 compare to Aurora overall?
Tract 17089853500 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Aurora at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Aurora eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17089853500 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 92% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Aurora
Top eight tracts in Aurora ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Scraper-Moecherville
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IL
South Park
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IL
Exposition View
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IL
South Park
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IL
Marywood
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IL
17089854700
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IL
17089853100
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IL
17089853200
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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