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Neighborhood · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally

Scraper-Moecherville Eviction Risk: Moderate , Aurora

Tract 17089854301 · Kane County, IL · pop 5,698 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

17089854301 is a census tract in the Scraper-Moecherville area of Aurora, IL. It scores 4.5/10 for landlords. Adults with no health insurance runs 27.7% against 11.3% nationally.

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 17% Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units1,463
Renter share29.9%
SVI overall0.75
Poverty rate8.2%
Median income$80,417

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
22 th percentile
Rank, 22nd percentileLowHigh
#8 of 10 tracts In Scraper-Moecherville
Low
Within parent city
45 th percentile
Rank, 45th percentileLowHigh
#23 of 41 tracts In Aurora
Moderate
Within county
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#43 of 104 tracts In Kane County
Elevated
Within state
44 th percentile
Rank, 44th percentileLowHigh
#1,840 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Aurora and the region

Centroid at 41.7466, -88.3019 · click any tract to drill in

Why Scraper-Moecherville scores 4.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Aurora
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
8.2% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$1,379 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Aurora
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Aurora
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Aurora
3.5

How Scraper-Moecherville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Scraper-Moecherville risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.54.5This tracttract 854301Aurora: 4.04.0Auroraparent cityCounty: 4.14.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.15.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 75

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 39Total filings over 3 yrs
  • 3.13%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.8%Peak (2009)
  • 11Filings in 2011 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2011
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 170898543012009: 18 filings (5.81/100 renter HHs)2010: 10 filings (1.70/100 renter HHs)2011: 11 filings (1.88/100 renter HHs)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Scraper-Moecherville. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Scraper-Moecherville

Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 2/10. Food insecurity runs 29.7% against 17.8% nationally. 14% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 2.5/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.8/10.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 39 filings here across 3 tracked years. Average gross rent is $1,379, 14% below the Aurora average.

Filings peaked in 2009 at 5.8% of renter households. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Aurora. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 3.1% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 51% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 17089854301

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17089854301?

Census tract 17089854301 in the Scraper-Moecherville neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17089854301?

Median gross rent is $1,379/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17089854301?

8.2% of residents in tract 17089854301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,698.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17089854301?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 72th, minority 93th, housing 21th.
Q5

Is tract 17089854301 considered part of Scraper-Moecherville?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17089854301 fall within Scraper-Moecherville (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17089854301?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 39 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 17089854301 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.13% of renter households, peaking at 5.8% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 17089854301 struggle to pay rent?

About 24.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 17089854301 compare to Aurora overall?

Tract 17089854301 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Aurora at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Aurora eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 17089854301 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 11% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Aurora

Top eight tracts in Aurora ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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