Neighborhood · Ranked #58,847 of 84,120 nationally

Scraper-Moecherville Eviction Risk: Moderate , Aurora

Tract 17089854302 · Kane County, IL · pop 4,796 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Census tract 17089854302 sits in the Scraper-Moecherville neighborhood of Aurora, Illinois. It has a population of 4,796 and an eviction-risk score of 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). 38% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 16% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $1,198/month against a median household income of $74,408 — roughly 19% rent-to-income at the medians.

Risk score

4.7

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 23% Owners 63%

Tract context

Occupied units1,241

Renter share37.2%

SVI overall0.57

Poverty rate3.3%

Median income$74,408

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Aurora and the region

Centroid at 41.7404, -88.2982 · click any tract to drill in

Why Scraper-Moecherville scores 4.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Aurora

5.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.7

State political climate

Illinois legislature & governorship

5.2

Economic stress

3.3% poverty · this tract

1.0

Supply constraint

$1,198 rent vs county FMR

1.8

Rent control risk

Inherited from Aurora

2.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Aurora

3.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Aurora

3.5

How Scraper-Moecherville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 57

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

74%Socioeconomic
20%Household composition
87%Racial/ethnic minority
37%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C — Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
12%Grade B
35%Grade C
18%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org) — 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

58Total filings over 3 yrs
3.42%Avg annual filing rate
4.2%Peak (2011)
26Filings in 2011 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2009 — 2011

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Scraper-Moecherville. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

21.6%Housing insecurity
10.6%Utility-shutoff threat
24.7%Food insecurity
18.0%SNAP enrollment
11.3%Transit barriers
23.7%No health insurance
16.6%Frequent mental distress
29.7%Any disability

Frequently asked

About tract 17089854302

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17089854302?

Census tract 17089854302 in the Scraper-Moecherville neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 17089854302?

Median gross rent is $1,198/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 17089854302?

3.3% of residents in tract 17089854302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,796.

How socially vulnerable is tract 17089854302?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 57th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 74th, household 20th, minority 87th, housing 37th.

Is tract 17089854302 considered part of Scraper-Moecherville?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17089854302 fall within Scraper-Moecherville (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17089854302?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 58 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 17089854302 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.42% of renter households, peaking at 4.2% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

What share of households in tract 17089854302 struggle to pay rent?

About 21.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.6% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 17089854302 compare to Aurora overall?

Tract 17089854302 scores 4.7/10 — right in line with the parent city of Aurora at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Aurora eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 17089854302 historically redlined?

Yes — this tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 18% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Aurora

Top eight tracts in Aurora ranked by composite eviction-risk score.