Neighborhood · Ranked #63,308 of 84,120 nationally

Scraper-Moecherville Eviction Risk: Lower , Aurora

Tract 17089854402 · Kane County, IL · pop 2,376 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Census tract 17089854402 covers part of the Scraper-Moecherville area of Aurora, IL, and scores 3.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,376. 30% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score

3.2

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 13% Owners 74%

Tract context

Occupied units957

Renter share25.8%

SVI overall0.58

Poverty rate3.0%

Median income$109,125

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Aurora and the region

Centroid at 41.7483, -88.2709 · click any tract to drill in

Why Scraper-Moecherville scores 3.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Aurora

5.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.7

State political climate

Illinois legislature & governorship

5.2

Economic stress

3.0% poverty · this tract

1.0

Supply constraint

$1,124 rent vs county FMR

1.4

Rent control risk

Inherited from Aurora

2.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Aurora

3.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Aurora

3.5

How Scraper-Moecherville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 58

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

32%Socioeconomic
94%Household composition
51%Racial/ethnic minority
51%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
13%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Scraper-Moecherville. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

13.2%Housing insecurity
6.9%Utility-shutoff threat
14.9%Food insecurity
11.2%SNAP enrollment
7.4%Transit barriers
12.8%No health insurance
14.2%Frequent mental distress
26.5%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Scraper-Moecherville

The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.4/10.

Average gross rent is $1,124, 30% below the Aurora average. Cost burden runs roughly one in two here against 45.5% across Kane County.

On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 2.5/10. It sits 0.9 points below the Kane County average of 4.1.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. Nationally it ranks #63,308 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 6.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Against average income of $109,125, annual rent is just 12%. Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 1.9 points cooler.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 17089854402

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17089854402?

Census tract 17089854402 in the Scraper-Moecherville neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 17089854402?

Median gross rent is $1,124/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 17089854402?

3.0% of residents in tract 17089854402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,376.

How socially vulnerable is tract 17089854402?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 58th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 32th, household 94th, minority 51th, housing 51th.

Is tract 17089854402 considered part of Scraper-Moecherville?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17089854402 fall within Scraper-Moecherville (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 17089854402 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 17089854402 compare to Aurora overall?

Tract 17089854402 scores 3.2/10, lower than the parent city of Aurora at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Aurora eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 17089854402 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 13% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Aurora

Top eight tracts in Aurora ranked by composite eviction-risk score.