Russell Eviction Risk: Moderate , Louisville
Tract 21111003000 · Jefferson County, KY · pop 2,028 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
With a score of 5.4/10, tract 21111003000 in the Russell area of Louisville, KY reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,028. The severe-burden share is 43%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Louisville and the region
Centroid at 38.2541, -85.7698 · click any tract to drill in
Why Russell scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Russell compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 99
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 95%Socioeconomic
- 95%Household composition
- 87%Racial/ethnic minority
- 97%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 45%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 8,221Total filings over 14 yrs
- 45.16%Avg annual filing rate
- 60.9%Peak (2005)
- 411Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Russell. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
What drives eviction risk in Russell
79% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Jefferson County average of 42.9%. Annualized rent equals 80% of average household income of $12,170, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10.
The poverty rate is 72%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. This is renter territory: 97% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 9.2/10.
Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.1/10. It sits 1.4 points above the Jefferson County average of 4.0.
At $810 a month, rents run 20% under what the rest of Louisville commands. Court records carry 8,221 eviction filings across 14 observed years.
Filings peaked in 2005 at 60.9% of renter households. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Louisville. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 45.2% of renter households face a filing.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
About tract 21111003000
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21111003000?
What is the average rent in tract 21111003000?
What is the poverty rate in tract 21111003000?
How socially vulnerable is tract 21111003000?
Is tract 21111003000 considered part of Russell?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 21111003000?
How does tract 21111003000 compare to Louisville overall?
Was tract 21111003000 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Louisville
Top eight tracts in Louisville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.