Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #16,850 of 84,120 nationally
Russell Eviction Risk: Moderate , Louisville
Tract 21111003000 · Jefferson County, KY · pop 2,028 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
For landlords sizing up the Russell area of Louisville, census tract 21111003000 carries an elevated eviction-risk score of 6.6/10. It lands near the 89th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 79% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 43% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $810 monthly, set against $12,170 in average yearly household income, roughly 80% of income at the averages. About 97% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 76%
Stable renters 21%
Owners 3%
Tract context
Occupied units642
Renter share97.4%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate71.9%
Median income$12,170
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
89
th percentile
High
Within county
94
th percentile
Very High
Within state
83
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Louisville and the region
Centroid at 38.2541, -85.7698 · click any tract to drill in
Why Russell scores 5.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Louisville
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
71.9% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$810 rent vs county FMR
1.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Louisville
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Louisville
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Louisville
5.0
How Russell compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 99
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 95%Socioeconomic
- 95%Household composition
- 87%Racial/ethnic minority
- 97%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 45%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 8,221Total filings over 14 yrs
- 45.16%Avg annual filing rate
- 60.9%Peak (2005)
- 411Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 33% over the past 14 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Russell. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Russell
The score leans hardest on economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Louisville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Jefferson County average of 5.5 and above the Kentucky statewide average of 4.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 45% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 8,221 eviction filings here over 14 tracked years, with about 45.2% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 60.9% of renter households in 2005.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 21111003000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21111003000?
Census tract 21111003000 in the Russell neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 21111003000?
Median gross rent is $810/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 79% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 21111003000?
71.9% of residents in tract 21111003000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,028.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 21111003000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 95th, minority 87th, housing 97th.
Q5
Is tract 21111003000 considered part of Russell?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 21111003000 fall within Russell (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 21111003000?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 8,221 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 21111003000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 45.16% of renter households, peaking at 60.9% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 21111003000 compare to Louisville overall?
Tract 21111003000 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Louisville at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Louisville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 21111003000 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 45% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Louisville
Top eight tracts in Louisville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · KY
Wyandotte/Oakdale
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · KY
Whiskey Row
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · KY
21111003501
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · KY
Whiskey Row
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · KY
21111001400
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · KY
21111001500
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · KY
Russell
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · KY
Whiskey Row
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
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