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Neighborhood

Eviction Risk in Russell , Louisville

Tract 21111003000 · Jefferson County, KY · pop 2,028 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Census tract 21111003000 sits in the Russell neighborhood of Louisville, Kentucky. It has a population of 2,028 and an eviction-risk score of 6.6/10 (Elevated tier). 79% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 43% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $810/month against a median household income of $12,170 — roughly 80% rent-to-income at the medians.

Eviction Risk
6.6
Elevated tier · 1-10 composite
Confidence 100%
Rent burden
79%
43% severely burdened (≥50%)
Median rent
$810
vs county FMR_2BR: -39%
Median household income
$12,170
71.9% below poverty line
Where

Tract location

Centroid at 38.2541, -85.7698. Drag to explore.

Demographics

Racial & ethnic composition

Black (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood — 1,883 residents. Source: ACS 5-year 2023 (Table B03002, tract level).

Hispanic / Latino: 1% White (non-Hispanic): 19.9% Black (non-Hispanic): 71.6% Other / Multiracial: 7.4%
  • Hispanic / Latino 1%
  • White (non-Hispanic) 19.9%
  • Black (non-Hispanic) 71.6%
  • Other / Multiracial 7.4%
Score breakdown

How the 6.6/10 score is composed

Signal Score Source
Filing rate (county) 9.2 Eviction Lab via counties
State political climate 2.1 states.state_political_baseline
Regional political climate 6.0 2024 county presidential margin
Local political climate 7.0 Louisville (inherited)
Rent control risk 1.5 Louisville (inherited)
Eviction process difficulty 4.0 state law
Tenant organizing strength 5.5 Louisville (inherited)
Housing court bias 5.0 Louisville (inherited)
Economic stress (tract) 10.0 this tract poverty rate
Supply constraint (tract) 1.1 tract rent vs county FMR
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 99

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 8,221Total filings over 14 yrs
  • 45.16%Avg annual filing rate
  • 60.9%Peak (2005)
  • 411Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 — 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 211110030002002: 615 filings (46.73/100 renter HHs)2003: 737 filings (55.99/100 renter HHs)2004: 697 filings (52.96/100 renter HHs)2005: 765 filings (60.85/100 renter HHs)2006: 682 filings (54.25/100 renter HHs)2007: 633 filings (50.35/100 renter HHs)2008: 568 filings (45.18/100 renter HHs)2009: 606 filings (48.20/100 renter HHs)2010: 484 filings (37.40/100 renter HHs)2011: 548 filings (40.59/100 renter HHs)2012: 500 filings (37.04/100 renter HHs)2013: 554 filings (41.04/100 renter HHs)2014: 421 filings (31.19/100 renter HHs)2015: 411 filings (30.44/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 33% over the past 14 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Russell. Closest by composite score.

Tract · KY
Russell
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · KY
Russell
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · KY
Russell
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · KY
Russell
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
1930s HOLC grade · historical context

Dominant grade: D — hazardous — formally redlined; mortgage applications routinely denied

Approximately 45% of this tract's area was graded by Home Owners' Loan Corporation appraisers in Louisville. Source: Mapping Inequality (Nelson, Winling, Marciano, Connolly et al., University of Richmond) — CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Redlining is correlated with present-day eviction-filing rates, lower home-ownership, and greater rent burden — see Aaronson, Hartley & Mazumder (FRB Chicago, 2021). The shading above reflects 90-year-old appraisals; it is historical context, not a current credit signal.

Frequently asked

About tract 21111003000

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21111003000?

Census tract 21111003000 in the Russell neighborhood scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier). The composite blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent burden + poverty signals.

What is the median rent in tract 21111003000?

Median gross rent is $810/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 79% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 21111003000?

71.9% of residents in tract 21111003000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,028.

How socially vulnerable is tract 21111003000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 95th, minority 87th, housing 97th.

Is tract 21111003000 considered part of Russell?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 21111003000 fall within Russell (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 21111003000?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 8,221 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 21111003000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 45.16% of renter households, peaking at 60.9% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Was tract 21111003000 redlined?

The dominant 1930s HOLC grade across this tract is D (Hazardous / redlined). Roughly 45% of the tract's area sits inside historically redlined (grade-D) zones drawn by Home Owners' Loan Corporation appraisers in Louisville. Source: Mapping Inequality, University of Richmond.