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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Russell Eviction Risk: Moderate , Louisville

Tract 21111003000 · Jefferson County, KY · pop 2,028 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

With a score of 5.4/10, tract 21111003000 in the Russell area of Louisville, KY reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,028. The severe-burden share is 43%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 76% Stable renters 21% Owners 3%
Tract context
Occupied units642
Renter share97.4%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate71.9%
Median income$12,170

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
8 th percentile
Rank, 8th percentileLowHigh
#12 of 13 tracts In Russell
Very Low
Within parent city
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#40 of 90 tracts In Louisville
Elevated
Within county
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#41 of 216 tracts In Jefferson County
High
Within state
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#27 of 1,306 tracts In Kentucky
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Louisville and the region

Centroid at 38.2541, -85.7698 · click any tract to drill in

Why Russell scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Louisville
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
71.9% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$810 rent vs county FMR
1.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Louisville
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Louisville
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Louisville
5.0

How Russell compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Russell risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0030004.0Louisvilleparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 99

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 8,221Total filings over 14 yrs
  • 45.16%Avg annual filing rate
  • 60.9%Peak (2005)
  • 411Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 21111003000
Filings dropped 33% over the past 14 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Russell. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Russell

79% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Jefferson County average of 42.9%. Annualized rent equals 80% of average household income of $12,170, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10.

The poverty rate is 72%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. This is renter territory: 97% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 9.2/10.

Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.1/10. It sits 1.4 points above the Jefferson County average of 4.0.

At $810 a month, rents run 20% under what the rest of Louisville commands. Court records carry 8,221 eviction filings across 14 observed years.

Filings peaked in 2005 at 60.9% of renter households. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Louisville. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 45.2% of renter households face a filing.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 21111003000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21111003000?

Census tract 21111003000 in the Russell neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 21111003000?

Median gross rent is $810/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 79% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 21111003000?

71.9% of residents in tract 21111003000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,028.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 21111003000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 95th, minority 87th, housing 97th.
Q5

Is tract 21111003000 considered part of Russell?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 21111003000 fall within Russell (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 21111003000?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 8,221 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 21111003000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 45.16% of renter households, peaking at 60.9% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 21111003000 compare to Louisville overall?

Tract 21111003000 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Louisville at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Louisville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 21111003000 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 45% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Louisville

Top eight tracts in Louisville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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