Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally
Braggtown Eviction Risk: Moderate , Durham
Tract 37063000102 · Durham County, NC · pop 3,710 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Tract 37063000102 sits in the Braggtown area of Durham eviction risk, NC, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.2/10. Population here is 3,710. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.4/10.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31%
Stable renters 27%
Owners 42%
Tract context
Occupied units1,639
Renter share57.4%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate18.6%
Median income$63,633
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
71
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
72
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
84
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Durham and the region
Centroid at 36.0322, -78.8981 · click any tract to drill in
Why Braggtown scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Durham
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
18.6% poverty · this tract
4.6
Supply constraint
$1,304 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Durham
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Durham
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Durham
4.5
How Braggtown compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 79
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 70%Socioeconomic
- 51%Household composition
- 75%Racial/ethnic minority
- 88%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 2%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 4,862Total filings over 11 yrs
- 43.21%Avg annual filing rate
- 66.2%Peak (2006)
- 365Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 29% over the past 11 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 17.6%Housing insecurity
- 11.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 21.7%Food insecurity
- 18.8%SNAP enrollment
- 11.6%Transit barriers
- 15.1%No health insurance
- 17.4%Frequent mental distress
- 32.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Braggtown
Against Durham County at 43.8%, 54% of renters here are cost-burdened. Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.1/10.
Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. The severe-burden share is 14%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. It sits 1.1 points above the Durham County average of 4.1.
The poverty rate is 19%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. The filing record is not thin: 4,862 evictions over 11 years of observation.
Average gross rent is $1,304, 14% below the Durham average. Filings peaked in 2006 at 66.2% of renter households. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Durham. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 43.2% of renter households face a filing.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 37063000102
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37063000102?
Census tract 37063000102 in the Braggtown neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 37063000102?
Median gross rent is $1,304/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 37063000102?
18.6% of residents in tract 37063000102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,710.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 37063000102?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 70th, household 51th, minority 75th, housing 88th.
Q5
Is tract 37063000102 considered part of Braggtown?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37063000102 fall within Braggtown (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37063000102?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 4,862 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 37063000102 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 43.21% of renter households, peaking at 66.2% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 37063000102 struggle to pay rent?
About 17.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 37063000102 compare to Durham overall?
Tract 37063000102 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Durham at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Durham eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 37063000102 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Durham
Top eight tracts in Durham ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NC
Annie Day Shepard Dormitory
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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L L Wilkins
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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Duke Park
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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Hayti
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
The Heights
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Crest Street
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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Keene
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Old West Durham
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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