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Neighborhood · Durham, NC

Braggtown Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 3,710 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.2/10 · range 5.2–5.2

Braggtown maps to a single census tract in Durham, NC, population 3,710. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.2/10, in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 54% against 29.4% citywide, putting Braggtown 24.1% over its own city.

The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 2/10. Running cool is supply constraint, at 2/10.

Severe burden reaches 15%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The poverty rate is 19%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Court records for this tract carry 4,862 eviction filings. At $1,304 a month, rents sit 14% under what the rest of Durham commands. Filing activity peaked in 2006 at 66.2% of renter households.

The most recent observed rate, 30.3% in 2017, is well off that peak. Among the 58 mapped neighborhoods of Durham, it ranks #12 by risk, the upper third. The closest comparables inside the same city are Duke Homestead and Horton Hills.

Social vulnerability runs high at 8.1/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $63,633.

One tract means one number: 5.2/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Braggtown vs Durham How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
53.5% +82%
Durham: 29.4%
Average gross rent
$1,304 -14%
Durham: $1,508
Average HH income
$63,633 -20%
Durham: $79,234
Poverty rate
18.6% +52%
Durham: 12.2%
Renter share
57.4% +20%
Durham: 47.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Braggtown and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.2–5.2

Why Braggtown scores 5.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts
2.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts
8.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Rent control risk
54% of income on rent · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
57% renter households · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Economic stress
18.6% below poverty line · Range 4.6–4.6 across tracts
4.6
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Risk score comparison

Braggtown vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Braggtown score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.2BraggtownNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city3.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Braggtown

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
37063000102 5.2 3,710 54% $1,304
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 79

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 70%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 51%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 75%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 88%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Braggtown

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 4,862Total filings (sum)
  • 43.21%Avg annual filing rate
  • 66.2%Peak year (2006)
  • 30.34%Latest filed (2017)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Braggtown

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Braggtown

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Braggtown?

Braggtown scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Braggtown compare to Durham overall?

Braggtown scores 1.2 points higher than Durham overall (4/10). Renters spend 54% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,304 vs $1,508.
Q3

What is the average rent in Braggtown?

Average gross rent in Braggtown is $1,304/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Braggtown residents are renters?

57% of Braggtown households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Durham). The neighborhood has 3,710 residents.
Q5

Is Braggtown a high social-vulnerability area?

Braggtown sits in the 79th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Braggtown for landlords?

Braggtown carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.2/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Durham as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Braggtown?

Braggtown has 3,768 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (35.5%), Black (non-Hispanic) (28.7%), Hispanic / Latino (21.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Braggtown

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Durham

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Braggtown.

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