Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #48,956 of 84,120 nationally
Forest Hills Eviction Risk: Moderate , Durham
Tract 37063000700 · Durham County, NC · pop 3,965 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
With a score of 4/10, tract 37063000700 in the Forest Hills area of Durham, NC reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.4/10.
Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21%
Stable renters 41%
Owners 38%
Tract context
Occupied units2,090
Renter share62.2%
SVI overall0.40
Poverty rate10.7%
Median income$80,000
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
51
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
51
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
56
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Durham and the region
Centroid at 35.9827, -78.9144 · click any tract to drill in
Why Forest Hills scores 4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Durham
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
10.7% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$1,442 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Durham
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Durham
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Durham
4.5
How Forest Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 40
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 32%Socioeconomic
- 13%Household composition
- 51%Racial/ethnic minority
- 75%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: A: Best
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 27%Grade A
- 12%Grade B
- 25%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,412Total filings over 11 yrs
- 17.85%Avg annual filing rate
- 31.3%Peak (2009)
- 103Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 37% over the past 11 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.3%Housing insecurity
- 5.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.5%Food insecurity
- 7.3%SNAP enrollment
- 6.0%Transit barriers
- 6.6%No health insurance
- 13.9%Frequent mental distress
- 24.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Forest Hills
Against Durham County at 43.8%, 34% of renters here are cost-burdened. Severe burden reaches 19%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 8.1/10.
Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. Court records carry 1,412 eviction filings across 11 observed years. Food insecurity runs 9.5% against 17.8% nationally.
SNAP participation runs 7.3% against 15.2% nationally. The worst year on record was 2009, when 31.3% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped A ("Best") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Durham. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 17.9% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 42% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.6/10.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 37063000700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37063000700?
Census tract 37063000700 in the Forest Hills neighborhood scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 37063000700?
Median gross rent is $1,442/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 37063000700?
10.7% of residents in tract 37063000700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,965.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 37063000700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 40th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 32th, household 13th, minority 51th, housing 75th.
Q5
Is tract 37063000700 considered part of Forest Hills?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37063000700 fall within Forest Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37063000700?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,412 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 37063000700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 17.85% of renter households, peaking at 31.3% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 37063000700 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 37063000700 compare to Durham overall?
Tract 37063000700 scores 4/10, right in line with the parent city of Durham at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Durham eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 37063000700 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Durham
Top eight tracts in Durham ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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Hillcrest
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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Swann's Mill
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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Holloway Place
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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Annie Day Shepard Dormitory
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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Annie Day Shepard Dormitory
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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Annie Day Shepard Dormitory
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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Annie Day Shepard Dormitory
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Hayti
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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