Neighborhood · Ranked #48,956 of 84,120 nationally

Forest Hills Eviction Risk: Moderate , Durham

Tract 37063000700 · Durham County, NC · pop 3,965 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

With a score of 4/10, tract 37063000700 in the Forest Hills area of Durham, NC reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.4/10.

Risk score

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 41% Owners 38%

Tract context

Occupied units2,090

Renter share62.2%

SVI overall0.40

Poverty rate10.7%

Median income$80,000

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Durham and the region

Centroid at 35.9827, -78.9144 · click any tract to drill in

Why Forest Hills scores 4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Durham

7.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.1

State political climate

North Carolina legislature & governorship

2.3

Economic stress

10.7% poverty · this tract

2.7

Supply constraint

$1,442 rent vs county FMR

2.7

Rent control risk

Inherited from Durham

2.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Durham

6.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Durham

4.5

How Forest Hills compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 40

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

32%Socioeconomic
13%Household composition
51%Racial/ethnic minority
75%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: A: Best

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

27%Grade A
12%Grade B
25%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.¹

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

1,412Total filings over 11 yrs
17.85%Avg annual filing rate
31.3%Peak (2009)
103Filings in 2017 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2005 to 2017

Filings dropped 37% over the past 11 months.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

8.3%Housing insecurity
5.8%Utility-shutoff threat
9.5%Food insecurity
7.3%SNAP enrollment
6.0%Transit barriers
6.6%No health insurance
13.9%Frequent mental distress
24.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Forest Hills

Against Durham County at 43.8%, 34% of renters here are cost-burdened. Severe burden reaches 19%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 8.1/10.

Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. Court records carry 1,412 eviction filings across 11 observed years. Food insecurity runs 9.5% against 17.8% nationally.

SNAP participation runs 7.3% against 15.2% nationally. The worst year on record was 2009, when 31.3% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped A ("Best") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Durham. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 17.9% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 42% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.6/10.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 37063000700

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37063000700?

Census tract 37063000700 in the Forest Hills neighborhood scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 37063000700?

Median gross rent is $1,442/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 37063000700?

10.7% of residents in tract 37063000700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,965.

How socially vulnerable is tract 37063000700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 40th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 32th, household 13th, minority 51th, housing 75th.

Is tract 37063000700 considered part of Forest Hills?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37063000700 fall within Forest Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37063000700?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,412 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 37063000700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 17.85% of renter households, peaking at 31.3% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

What share of households in tract 37063000700 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 37063000700 compare to Durham overall?

Tract 37063000700 scores 4/10, right in line with the parent city of Durham at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Durham eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 37063000700 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Durham

Top eight tracts in Durham ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Eviction Lab tract-level court records (2000-2018) and Eviction Tracking System, Princeton University. Open Data Commons Attribution license. evictionlab.org