Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Black Horse Run Eviction Risk: Lower , Durham
Tract 37063002100 · Durham County, NC · pop 9,548 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
37063002100 is a census tract in the Black Horse Run area of Durham, NC. It scores 3/10 for landlords. Population here is 9,548. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.4/10.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%
Stable renters 2%
Owners 96%
Tract context
Occupied units2,661
Renter share4.6%
SVI overall0.41
Poverty rate6.5%
Median income$103,814
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
1
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
19
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
28
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Durham and the region
Centroid at 36.1826, -78.8798 · click any tract to drill in
Why Black Horse Run scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Durham
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
6.5% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Durham
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Durham
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Durham
4.5
How Black Horse Run compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 41
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 40%Socioeconomic
- 30%Household composition
- 54%Racial/ethnic minority
- 49%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 229Total filings over 11 yrs
- 7.86%Avg annual filing rate
- 12.7%Peak (2013)
- 17Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 89% over the past 11 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.4%Housing insecurity
- 7.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.5%Food insecurity
- 10.6%SNAP enrollment
- 7.6%Transit barriers
- 10.0%No health insurance
- 14.4%Frequent mental distress
- 30.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Black Horse Run
Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.6/10. Against Durham County at 43.8%, 54% of renters here are cost-burdened. On the high side, regional political climate reads 8.1/10.
Against the Durham County average of 4.1, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.1 points. Severe burden reaches 11%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Court records carry 229 eviction filings across 11 observed years. Filings peaked in 2013 at 12.7% of renter households. In a typical year about 7.9% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 5% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
Social vulnerability reads 4.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 37063002100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37063002100?
Census tract 37063002100 in the Black Horse Run neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 37063002100?
6.5% of residents in tract 37063002100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 9,548.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 37063002100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 41th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 40th, household 30th, minority 54th, housing 49th.
Q4
Is tract 37063002100 considered part of Black Horse Run?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37063002100 fall within Black Horse Run (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37063002100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 229 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 37063002100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.86% of renter households, peaking at 12.7% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 37063002100 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 37063002100 compare to Durham overall?
Tract 37063002100 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Durham at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Durham eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Durham
Top eight tracts in Durham ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NC
The Heights
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Keene
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Crest Street
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Old West Durham
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Burch Avenue
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Beech Lake
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Keene
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Hillcrest
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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