Bismarck Eviction Risk: Lower

Average gross rent is $1,570, 57% above the Bismarck average. The voucher gap is 53.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. On the softer side, tenant-organizing strength reads 1/10.

Food insecurity runs 5.7% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 3.2% against 15.2% nationally. The severe-burden share is 14%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Cost burden runs 28% here against 34.1% across Burleigh County. It sits 0.6 points below the Burleigh County average of 3.6. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

At 10% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.