Skip to content
Census Tract · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Bismarck Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 38015011200 · Burleigh County, ND · pop 8,992 · 45% of tract blocks fall in Bismarck

With a score of 3/10, tract 38015011200 in Bismarck, ND reads lower for landlord eviction risk. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 14% Owners 75%
Tract context
Occupied units3,503
Renter share24.4%
SVI overall0.29
Poverty rate4.2%
Median income$101,435

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#16 of 16 tracts In Bismarck
Very Low
Within county
17 th percentile
Rank, 17th percentileLowHigh
#16 of 19 tracts In Burleigh County
Very Low
Within state
36 th percentile
Rank, 36th percentileLowHigh
#146 of 228 tracts In North Dakota
Low
National
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#67,219 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bismarck and the region

Centroid at 46.7221, -100.7536 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bismarck scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bismarck
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.0
State political climate
North Dakota legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
4.2% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$1,217 rent vs county FMR
6.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bismarck
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bismarck
1.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bismarck
1.5

How Bismarck compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bismarck risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 0112003.2Bismarckparent city3.6Countyavg tract in county3.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 29

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bismarck

Running cool, tenant-organizing strength reads 1/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.1/10. Cost burden runs 44% here against 34.1% across Burleigh County.

Average gross rent is $1,217, 22% above the Bismarck average. SNAP participation runs 4.2% against 15.2% nationally.

The voucher gap is 19.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Food insecurity runs 7.6% against 17.8% nationally. Severe burden reaches 10%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Against the Burleigh County average of 3.6, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.6 points. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 24% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.7/10. Rent consumes only 14% of average household income of $101,435, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 38015011200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 38015011200?

Census tract 38015011200 in Bismarck scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 38015011200?

Median gross rent is $1,217/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 38015011200?

4.2% of residents in tract 38015011200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,992.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 38015011200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 29th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 15th, household 17th, minority 20th, housing 79th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 38015011200 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 38015011200 compare to Bismarck overall?

Tract 38015011200 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Bismarck at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bismarck eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bismarck

Top eight tracts in Bismarck ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related