Census Tract · Ranked #75,086 of 84,120 nationally

Bismarck Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 38015011200 · Burleigh County, ND · pop 8,992 · 45% of tract blocks fall in Bismarck

Eviction risk in Bismarck eviction risk centers on tract 38015011200, which scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier) and is home to 8,992 residents. That is riskier than about 2% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 44% of renter households, a severe level, and 10% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,217 a month against an average household income of $101,435 a year, roughly 14% of income at the averages. Renters make up 24% of occupied homes.

Risk score

1.9

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 14% Owners 75%

Tract context

Occupied units3,503

Renter share24.4%

SVI overall0.29

Poverty rate4.2%

Median income$101,435

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bismarck and the region

Centroid at 46.7221, -100.7536 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bismarck scores 1.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Bismarck

2.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

3.0

State political climate

North Dakota legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

4.2% poverty · this tract

1.1

Supply constraint

$1,217 rent vs county FMR

6.9

Rent control risk

Inherited from Bismarck

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Bismarck

1.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Bismarck

1.5

How Bismarck compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 29

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

15%Socioeconomic
17%Household composition
20%Racial/ethnic minority
79%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

6.9%Housing insecurity
4.3%Utility-shutoff threat
7.6%Food insecurity
4.2%SNAP enrollment
5.4%Transit barriers
5.7%No health insurance
14.4%Frequent mental distress
24.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bismarck

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 6.9/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bismarck eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Burleigh County average of 2.9 and in line with the North Dakota statewide average of 3.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 6.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 29th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, this is among the easier places to operate: faster process, lighter tenant-protection overhead, and shorter typical cases.

Frequently asked

About tract 38015011200

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 38015011200?

Census tract 38015011200 in Bismarck scores 1.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 38015011200?

Median gross rent is $1,217/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 38015011200?

4.2% of residents in tract 38015011200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,992.

How socially vulnerable is tract 38015011200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 29th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 15th, household 17th, minority 20th, housing 79th.

What share of households in tract 38015011200 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 38015011200 compare to Bismarck overall?

Tract 38015011200 scores 1.9/10, right in line with the parent city of Bismarck at 1.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bismarck eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bismarck

Top eight tracts in Bismarck ranked by composite eviction-risk score.