Neighborhood · Ranked #17,526 of 84,120 nationally

Downtown Eviction Risk: Elevated , Middletown

Tract 39017013200 · Butler County, OH · pop 3,409 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Census tract 39017013200 sits in the Downtown neighborhood of Middletown, Ohio. It has a population of 3,409 and an eviction-risk score of 6.1/10 (Elevated tier). 49% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 20% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $953/month against a median household income of $61,122 — roughly 19% rent-to-income at the medians.

Risk score

6.1

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 24% Owners 53%

Tract context

Occupied units1,304

Renter share46.5%

SVI overall0.65

Poverty rate15.9%

Median income$61,122

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Middletown and the region

Centroid at 39.5073, -84.3877 · click any tract to drill in

Why Downtown scores 6.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Middletown

4.1

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

3.8

State political climate

Ohio legislature & governorship

2.4

Economic stress

15.9% poverty · this tract

4.0

Supply constraint

$953 rent vs county FMR

2.4

Rent control risk

Inherited from Middletown

6.4

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.7

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Middletown

8.8

Housing court bias

Inherited from Middletown

7.1

How Downtown compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 65

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

86%Socioeconomic
70%Household composition
46%Racial/ethnic minority
21%Housing & transportation

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

1,312Total filings over 13 yrs
15.99%Avg annual filing rate
19.3%Peak (2017)
129Filings in 2018 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2006 — 2018

Filings climbed 18% over the past 13 months.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Downtown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

17.7%Housing insecurity
13.4%Utility-shutoff threat
22.6%Food insecurity
20.8%SNAP enrollment
12.0%Transit barriers
11.3%No health insurance
22.1%Frequent mental distress
32.1%Any disability

Frequently asked

About tract 39017013200

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39017013200?

Census tract 39017013200 in the Downtown neighborhood scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 39017013200?

Median gross rent is $953/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 39017013200?

15.9% of residents in tract 39017013200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,409.

How socially vulnerable is tract 39017013200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 65th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 70th, minority 46th, housing 21th.

Is tract 39017013200 considered part of Downtown?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39017013200 fall within Downtown (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39017013200?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,312 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 39017013200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 15.99% of renter households, peaking at 19.3% in 2017. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

What share of households in tract 39017013200 struggle to pay rent?

About 17.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.4% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 39017013200 compare to Middletown overall?

Tract 39017013200 scores 6.1/10 — higher than the parent city of Middletown at 5.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Middletown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Middletown

Top eight tracts in Middletown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.