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Neighborhood · Ranked #28,095 of 84,120 nationally

Downtown Eviction Risk: Moderate , Middletown

Tract 39017013200 · Butler County, OH · pop 3,409 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Tract 39017013200 sits in the Downtown area of Middletown eviction risk, OH, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.3/10. It is home to 3,409 residents. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 8.8/10.

Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 24% Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units1,304
Renter share46.5%
SVI overall0.65
Poverty rate15.9%
Median income$61,122

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 4 tracts In Downtown
Low
Within parent city
41 th percentile
Rank, 41st percentileLowHigh
#11 of 18 tracts In Middletown
Moderate
Within county
71 th percentile
Rank, 71st percentileLowHigh
#26 of 86 tracts In Butler County
Elevated
Within state
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#798 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Middletown and the region

Centroid at 39.5073, -84.3877 · click any tract to drill in

Why Downtown scores 5.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Middletown
4.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
15.9% poverty · this tract
4.0
Supply constraint
$953 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Middletown
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Middletown
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Middletown
7.1

How Downtown compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Downtown risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.3This tracttract 0132004.2Middletownparent city4.3Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 65

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,312Total filings over 13 yrs
  • 15.99%Avg annual filing rate
  • 19.3%Peak (2017)
  • 129Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2006 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 39017013200
Filings climbed 18% over the past 13 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Downtown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Downtown

Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.8/10. The severe-burden share is 20%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. 49% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Butler County average of 39.6%.

On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.4/10. It sits 1.0 points above the Butler County average of 4.3.

Court records carry 1,312 eviction filings across 13 observed years. Filings peaked in 2017 at 19.3% of renter households.

In a typical year about 16.0% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 67th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the OH average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.1 points hotter.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 39017013200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39017013200?

Census tract 39017013200 in the Downtown neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39017013200?

Median gross rent is $953/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39017013200?

15.9% of residents in tract 39017013200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,409.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39017013200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 65th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 70th, minority 46th, housing 21th.
Q5

Is tract 39017013200 considered part of Downtown?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39017013200 fall within Downtown (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39017013200?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,312 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 39017013200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 15.99% of renter households, peaking at 19.3% in 2017. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39017013200 struggle to pay rent?

About 17.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39017013200 compare to Middletown overall?

Tract 39017013200 scores 5.3/10, higher than the parent city of Middletown at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Middletown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Middletown

Top eight tracts in Middletown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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