Within neighborhood
33
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #39,389 of 84,120 nationally
Downtown Eviction Risk: Moderate , Middletown
Tract 39017013200 · Butler County, OH · pop 3,409 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
The Elevated-tier score of 6.1/10 for census tract 39017013200 reflects conditions in Downtown in Middletown, Ohio. That is riskier than roughly 77% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
49% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 20% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $953 a month while the average household earns $61,122 a year, roughly 19% of income at the averages. About 46% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23%
Stable renters 24%
Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units1,304
Renter share46.5%
SVI overall0.65
Poverty rate15.9%
Median income$61,122
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
41
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
72
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
62
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Middletown and the region
Centroid at 39.5073, -84.3877 · click any tract to drill in
Why Downtown scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Middletown
4.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
15.9% poverty · this tract
4.0
Supply constraint
$953 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Middletown
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Middletown
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Middletown
7.1
How Downtown compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 65
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 86%Socioeconomic
- 70%Household composition
- 46%Racial/ethnic minority
- 21%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,312Total filings over 13 yrs
- 15.99%Avg annual filing rate
- 19.3%Peak (2017)
- 129Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 18% over the past 13 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Downtown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 17.7%Housing insecurity
- 13.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 22.6%Food insecurity
- 20.8%SNAP enrollment
- 12.0%Transit barriers
- 11.3%No health insurance
- 22.1%Frequent mental distress
- 32.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Downtown
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 8.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Middletown eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Butler County average of 5.5 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,312 eviction filings here over 13 tracked years, with about 16.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 19.3% of renter households in 2017.
In CDC survey modeling, about 17.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 13.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 39017013200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39017013200?
Census tract 39017013200 in the Downtown neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39017013200?
Median gross rent is $953/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39017013200?
15.9% of residents in tract 39017013200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,409.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39017013200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 65th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 70th, minority 46th, housing 21th.
Q5
Is tract 39017013200 considered part of Downtown?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39017013200 fall within Downtown (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39017013200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,312 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 39017013200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 15.99% of renter households, peaking at 19.3% in 2017. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39017013200 struggle to pay rent?
About 17.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39017013200 compare to Middletown overall?
Tract 39017013200 scores 4.1/10, higher than the parent city of Middletown at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Middletown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Middletown
Top eight tracts in Middletown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
Downtown
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
39017014000
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Rosedale / The Oaks
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
South Main Street Historic District
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
South Main Street Historic District
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39017013600
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39017013500
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Downtown
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
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