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Neighborhood · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally

Downtown Eviction Risk: Moderate , Middletown

Tract 39017014400 · Butler County, OH · pop 2,206 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

With a score of 5.6/10, tract 39017014400 in the Downtown area of Middletown, OH reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Against Butler County at 39.6%, 60% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 53% Stable renters 36% Owners 11%
Tract context
Occupied units1,206
Renter share88.4%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate46.4%
Median income$16,368

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In Downtown
Elevated
Within parent city
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 18 tracts In Middletown
Elevated
Within county
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#14 of 86 tracts In Butler County
High
Within state
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#466 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Middletown and the region

Centroid at 39.5167, -84.3969 · click any tract to drill in

Why Downtown scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Middletown
4.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
46.4% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$692 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Middletown
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Middletown
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Middletown
7.1

How Downtown compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Downtown risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.6This tracttract 0144004.2Middletownparent city4.3Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 98

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,079Total filings over 13 yrs
  • 12.32%Avg annual filing rate
  • 19.8%Peak (2013)
  • 89Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2006 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 39017014400
Filings climbed 53% over the past 13 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Downtown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Downtown

What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10. Set annual rent against average income of $16,368 and the ratio lands at 51%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. 33% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

The poverty rate is 46%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. This is renter territory: 88% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10.

At $692 a month, rents run 31% under what the rest of Middletown commands. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.8/10.

Disability prevalence runs 44.6% against 31.5% nationally. Against the Butler County average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 19.8% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,079 filings here across 13 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2013, when 19.8% of renter households were served.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 39017014400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39017014400?

Census tract 39017014400 in the Downtown neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39017014400?

Median gross rent is $692/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39017014400?

46.4% of residents in tract 39017014400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,206.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39017014400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 99th, minority 55th, housing 93th.
Q5

Is tract 39017014400 considered part of Downtown?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39017014400 fall within Downtown (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39017014400?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,079 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 39017014400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.32% of renter households, peaking at 19.8% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39017014400 struggle to pay rent?

About 24.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39017014400 compare to Middletown overall?

Tract 39017014400 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Middletown at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Middletown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Middletown

Top eight tracts in Middletown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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