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Neighborhood · Ranked #16,850 of 84,120 nationally

Downtown Eviction Risk: Moderate , Middletown

Tract 39017014400 · Butler County, OH · pop 2,206 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Census tract 39017014400 sits in the Downtown area of Middletown eviction risk, Ohio eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 6.8/10. It lands near the 91st percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 60% of renter households, a severe level, and 33% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $692 a month against an average household income of $16,368 a year, roughly 51% of income at the averages. About 88% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 53% Stable renters 36% Owners 11%
Tract context
Occupied units1,206
Renter share88.4%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate46.4%
Median income$16,368

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In Downtown
Very High
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 18 tracts In Middletown
Very High
Within county
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 86 tracts In Butler County
Very High
Within state
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#365 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Middletown and the region

Centroid at 39.5167, -84.3969 · click any tract to drill in

Why Downtown scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Middletown
4.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
46.4% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$692 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Middletown
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Middletown
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Middletown
7.1

How Downtown compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Downtown risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.65.6This tracttract 014400Middletown: 2.82.8Middletownparent cityCounty: 3.23.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 98

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,079Total filings over 13 yrs
  • 12.32%Avg annual filing rate
  • 19.8%Peak (2013)
  • 89Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2006 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 390170144002006: 58 filings (7.67/100 renter HHs)2007: 57 filings (7.53/100 renter HHs)2008: 66 filings (8.72/100 renter HHs)2009: 81 filings (10.71/100 renter HHs)2010: 91 filings (11.08/100 renter HHs)2011: 93 filings (15.71/100 renter HHs)2012: 82 filings (13.85/100 renter HHs)2013: 117 filings (19.76/100 renter HHs)2014: 78 filings (13.18/100 renter HHs)2015: 75 filings (12.67/100 renter HHs)2016: 102 filings (14.25/100 renter HHs)2017: 90 filings (12.57/100 renter HHs)2018: 89 filings (12.43/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 53% over the past 13 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Downtown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Downtown

The score leans hardest on economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Middletown eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Butler County average of 5.5 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 24.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 19.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 98th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 39017014400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39017014400?

Census tract 39017014400 in the Downtown neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39017014400?

Median gross rent is $692/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39017014400?

46.4% of residents in tract 39017014400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,206.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39017014400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 99th, minority 55th, housing 93th.
Q5

Is tract 39017014400 considered part of Downtown?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39017014400 fall within Downtown (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39017014400?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,079 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 39017014400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.32% of renter households, peaking at 19.8% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39017014400 struggle to pay rent?

About 24.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39017014400 compare to Middletown overall?

Tract 39017014400 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Middletown at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Middletown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Middletown

Top eight tracts in Middletown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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