Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #6,298 of 84,120 nationally
Downtown Eviction Risk: Elevated , Middletown
Tract 39017014400 · Butler County, OH · pop 2,206 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Census tract 39017014400 sits in the Downtown neighborhood of Middletown, Ohio. It has a population of 2,206 and an eviction-risk score of 6.8/10 (Elevated tier). 60% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 33% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $692/month against a median household income of $16,368 — roughly 51% rent-to-income at the medians.
Risk score
6.8
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 53%
Stable renters 36%
Owners 11%
Tract context
Occupied units1,206
Renter share88.4%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate46.4%
Median income$16,368
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
97
th percentile
Very High
Within state
99
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Middletown and the region
Centroid at 39.5167, -84.3969 · click any tract to drill in
Why Downtown scores 6.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Middletown
4.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
46.4% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$692 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Middletown
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Middletown
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Middletown
7.1
How Downtown compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 98
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 93%Socioeconomic
- 99%Household composition
- 55%Racial/ethnic minority
- 93%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,079Total filings over 13 yrs
- 12.32%Avg annual filing rate
- 19.8%Peak (2013)
- 89Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 53% over the past 13 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Downtown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 24.8%Housing insecurity
- 19.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 37.3%Food insecurity
- 38.4%SNAP enrollment
- 18.5%Transit barriers
- 17.6%No health insurance
- 24.7%Frequent mental distress
- 44.6%Any disability
Frequently asked
About tract 39017014400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39017014400?
Census tract 39017014400 in the Downtown neighborhood scores 6.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39017014400?
Median gross rent is $692/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39017014400?
46.4% of residents in tract 39017014400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,206.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39017014400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 99th, minority 55th, housing 93th.
Q5
Is tract 39017014400 considered part of Downtown?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39017014400 fall within Downtown (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39017014400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,079 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 39017014400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.32% of renter households, peaking at 19.8% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39017014400 struggle to pay rent?
About 24.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.8% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39017014400 compare to Middletown overall?
Tract 39017014400 scores 6.8/10 — higher than the parent city of Middletown at 5.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Middletown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Middletown
Top eight tracts in Middletown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
South Main Street Historic District
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
39017014000
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Rosedale / The Oaks
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
39017013400
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
39017013600
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
39017014100
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Downtown
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
South Main Street Historic District
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
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