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Census Tract · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Kettering Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 39113020300 · Montgomery County, OH · pop 2,390

Census tract 39113020300 covers part of Kettering, OH, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,390. Against Montgomery County at 42.9%, 28% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 9% Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units1,099
Renter share13.2%
SVI overall0.04
Poverty rate7.1%
Median income$103,240

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
14 th percentile
Rank, 14th percentileLowHigh
#20 of 23 tracts In Kettering
Very Low
Within county
7 th percentile
Rank, 7th percentileLowHigh
#146 of 156 tracts In Montgomery County
Very Low
Within state
31 th percentile
Rank, 31st percentileLowHigh
#2,197 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Low
National
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#67,219 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Kettering and the region

Centroid at 39.6973, -84.1798 · click any tract to drill in

Why Kettering scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Kettering
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
7.1% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Kettering
5.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Kettering
7.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Kettering
4.9

How Kettering compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Kettering risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 0203004.0Ketteringparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 4

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: A: Best

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 57Total filings over 16 yrs
  • 1.85%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.1%Peak (2016)
  • 1Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 39113020300
Filings dropped 50% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Kettering

Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.8/10. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.1/10.

Food insecurity runs 5.8% against 17.8% nationally. Against the Montgomery County average of 4.2, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.2 points.

Running hot, court filing pressure reads 7.7/10. The severe-burden share is 12%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Court records carry 57 eviction filings across 16 observed years. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.9% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

Filings peaked in 2016 at 4.1% of renter households. This ground was mapped A ("Best") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Dayton. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 1.9% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 13% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.3/10.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 39113020300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39113020300?

Census tract 39113020300 in Kettering scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the poverty rate in tract 39113020300?

7.1% of residents in tract 39113020300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,390.
Q3

How socially vulnerable is tract 39113020300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 4th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 9th, household 9th, minority 11th, housing 12th.
Q4

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39113020300?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 57 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 39113020300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.85% of renter households, peaking at 4.1% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q5

What share of households in tract 39113020300 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 39113020300 compare to Kettering overall?

Tract 39113020300 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Kettering at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Kettering eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 39113020300 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Kettering

Top eight tracts in Kettering ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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