Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #65,113 of 84,120 nationally
Normandy Homes Eviction Risk: Lower , Lewisville
Tract 48121021716 · Denton, TX · pop 5,352 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
For landlords sizing up the Normandy Homes area of Lewisville, census tract 48121021716 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.6/10. That is riskier than about 59% of US census tracts.
About 74% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 34% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,561 monthly, set against $65,676 in average yearly household income, roughly 29% of income at the averages. About 60% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
2.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 44%
Stable renters 15%
Owners 41%
Tract context
Occupied units2,400
Renter share59.5%
SVI overall0.84
Poverty rate5.9%
Median income$65,676
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
71
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
73
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
23
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lewisville and the region
Centroid at 33.0525, -97.0189 · click any tract to drill in
Why Normandy Homes scores 2.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lewisville
5.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
5.9% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$1,561 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lewisville
6.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lewisville
9.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lewisville
5.3
How Normandy Homes compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 84
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 67%Socioeconomic
- 86%Household composition
- 65%Racial/ethnic minority
- 88%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 590Total filings over 13 yrs
- 9.57%Avg annual filing rate
- 28.3%Peak (2004)
- 27Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 27% over the past 13 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 527Total filings 2020-21
- 6.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 2.17×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Normandy Homes. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Normandy Homes
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 9.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lewisville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Denton County average of 5.0 and above the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 84th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 2.17x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 48121021716
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48121021716?
Census tract 48121021716 in the Normandy Homes neighborhood scores 2.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48121021716?
Median gross rent is $1,561/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 74% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48121021716?
5.9% of residents in tract 48121021716 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,352.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48121021716?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 67th, household 86th, minority 65th, housing 88th.
Q5
Is tract 48121021716 considered part of Normandy Homes?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48121021716 fall within Normandy Homes (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48121021716?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 590 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 48121021716 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.57% of renter households, peaking at 28.3% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 48121021716 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 2.17× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 48121021716 compare to Lewisville overall?
Tract 48121021716 scores 2.6/10, higher than the parent city of Lewisville at 2.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lewisville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lewisville
Top eight tracts in Lewisville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
Normandy Homes
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48121021645
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Continental Square
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
Golden Park Place
3.1
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
48121021620
2.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
Golden Park Place
2.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
Continental Square
2.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
Continental Square
2.8
/ 10 · Low
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