Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally
Normandy Homes Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lewisville
Tract 48121021716 · Denton, TX · pop 5,352 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Census tract 48121021716 covers part of the Normandy Homes area of Lewisville, TX, and scores 5/10 on landlord eviction risk. 74% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Denton County average of 45.5%.
Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 44%
Stable renters 15%
Owners 41%
Tract context
Occupied units2,400
Renter share59.5%
SVI overall0.84
Poverty rate5.9%
Median income$65,676
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
71
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
84
th percentile
High
Within state
85
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lewisville and the region
Centroid at 33.0525, -97.0189 · click any tract to drill in
Why Normandy Homes scores 5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lewisville
5.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
5.9% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$1,561 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lewisville
6.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lewisville
9.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lewisville
5.3
How Normandy Homes compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 84
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 67%Socioeconomic
- 86%Household composition
- 65%Racial/ethnic minority
- 88%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 590Total filings over 13 yrs
- 9.57%Avg annual filing rate
- 28.3%Peak (2004)
- 27Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 27% over the past 13 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 527Total filings 2020-21
- 6.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 2.17×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Normandy Homes. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Normandy Homes
34% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.3/10.
On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.2/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
Against the Denton County average of 3.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points. Court records carry 590 eviction filings across 13 observed years. Filings peaked in 2004 at 28.3% of renter households.
In a typical year about 9.6% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 61st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.5/10.
Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.1 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 48121021716
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48121021716?
Census tract 48121021716 in the Normandy Homes neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48121021716?
Median gross rent is $1,561/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 74% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48121021716?
5.9% of residents in tract 48121021716 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,352.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48121021716?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 67th, household 86th, minority 65th, housing 88th.
Q5
Is tract 48121021716 considered part of Normandy Homes?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48121021716 fall within Normandy Homes (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48121021716?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 590 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 48121021716 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.57% of renter households, peaking at 28.3% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 48121021716 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 2.17× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 48121021716 compare to Lewisville overall?
Tract 48121021716 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Lewisville at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lewisville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lewisville
Top eight tracts in Lewisville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
Normandy Homes
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
48121021645
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Continental Square
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Golden Park Place
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Golden Park Place
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Continental Square
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48121021620
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Continental Square
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
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