Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #19,618 of 84,120 nationally
Kenwood Eviction Risk: Moderate , Annandale
Tract 51059450702 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 4,845 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Tract 51059450702 sits in the Kenwood area of Annandale eviction risk, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.9/10. It is home to 4,845 residents. 79% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 37%
Stable renters 42%
Owners 21%
Tract context
Occupied units1,419
Renter share78.5%
SVI overall0.84
Poverty rate12.2%
Median income$90,313
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
89
th percentile
High
Within state
93
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Annandale and the region
Centroid at 38.8370, -77.2034 · click any tract to drill in
Why Kenwood scores 5.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Annandale
8.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
12.2% poverty · this tract
3.0
Supply constraint
$2,034 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Annandale
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Annandale
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Annandale
6.8
How Kenwood compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 84
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 82%Socioeconomic
- 70%Household composition
- 85%Racial/ethnic minority
- 73%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 451Total filings over 4 yrs
- 9.97%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.3%Peak (2012)
- 114Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Kenwood. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 18.6%Housing insecurity
- 9.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 23.6%Food insecurity
- 15.8%SNAP enrollment
- 11.2%Transit barriers
- 22.1%No health insurance
- 15.9%Frequent mental distress
- 31.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Kenwood
The dominant input is local political climate at 8.4/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.2/10. It sits 1.6 points above the Fairfax County average of 4.3.
17% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Adults with no health insurance runs 22.1% against 11.3% nationally. Cost burden runs about half here against 41.0% across Fairfax County.
Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.5/10. The filing record is not thin: 451 evictions over 4 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2012 at 10.3% of renter households.
In a typical year about 10.0% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 77% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 51059450702
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059450702?
Census tract 51059450702 in the Kenwood neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51059450702?
Median gross rent is $2,034/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059450702?
12.2% of residents in tract 51059450702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,845.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059450702?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 70th, minority 85th, housing 73th.
Q5
Is tract 51059450702 considered part of Kenwood?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059450702 fall within Kenwood (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059450702?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 451 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51059450702 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.97% of renter households, peaking at 10.3% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51059450702 struggle to pay rent?
About 18.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51059450702 compare to Annandale overall?
Tract 51059450702 scores 5.9/10, higher than the parent city of Annandale at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Annandale eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Annandale
Top eight tracts in Annandale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Accotink Heights
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Ravensworth Grove
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Annandale Terrace
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Wilburdale
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Kenwood
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Sleepy Hollow Run
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Hillbrook
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Columbia Pines
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
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