Neighborhood · Ranked #42,813 of 84,120 nationally
Sleepy Hollow Run Eviction Risk: Moderate , Annandale
Tract 51059452000 ·
Fairfax County, VA · pop 2,947 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Tract 51059452000 sits in the Sleepy Hollow Run area of Annandale eviction risk, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.4/10. Population here is 2,947. 28% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%Stable renters 13%Owners 78%
Tract context
Occupied units990
Renter share22.1%
SVI overall0.55
Poverty rate7.4%
Median income$159,531
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Sleepy Hollow Run
Moderate
Within parent city
33th percentile
#7 of 10 tracts In Annandale
Low
Within county
66th percentile
#93 of 274 tracts In Fairfax County
Elevated
Within state
63th percentile
#800 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Annandale and the region
Centroid at 38.8341, -77.1741 · click any tract to drill in
Why Sleepy Hollow Run scores 4.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Annandale
8.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
7.4% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Annandale
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Annandale
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Annandale
6.8
How Sleepy Hollow Run compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 55
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
16%Socioeconomic
78%Household composition
70%Racial/ethnic minority
81%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
26Total filings over 4 yrs
1.74%Avg annual filing rate
3.5%Peak (2012)
2Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year2011 to 2016
Filings dropped 67% over the past 4 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
9.6%Housing insecurity
6.0%Utility-shutoff threat
13.5%Food insecurity
9.7%SNAP enrollment
6.8%Transit barriers
9.8%No health insurance
12.2%Frequent mental distress
30.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Sleepy Hollow Run
The dominant input is local political climate at 8.4/10. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.2/10.
Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.9/10. Court records carry 26 eviction filings across 4 observed years.
Filings peaked in 2012 at 3.5% of renter households. In a typical year about 1.7% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #42,813 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
At 22% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6/10. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.
Rent takes 30% or more of income for 42% of renters. It tracks the Fairfax County average of 4.3 closely.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 51059452000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059452000?
Census tract 51059452000 in the Sleepy Hollow Run neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059452000?
7.4% of residents in tract 51059452000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,947.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059452000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 16th, household 78th, minority 70th, housing 81th.
Q4
Is tract 51059452000 considered part of Sleepy Hollow Run?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059452000 fall within Sleepy Hollow Run (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059452000?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 26 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51059452000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.74% of renter households, peaking at 3.5% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 51059452000 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51059452000 compare to Annandale overall?
Tract 51059452000 scores 4.4/10, right in line with the parent city of Annandale at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Annandale eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Annandale
Top eight tracts in Annandale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.