Accotink Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate , Annandale
Tract 51059452301 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 3,378 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
51059452301 is a census tract in the Accotink Heights area of Annandale, VA. It scores 5.9/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,378. 63% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Fairfax County average of 41.0%.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Annandale and the region
Centroid at 38.8297, -77.2153 · click any tract to drill in
Why Accotink Heights scores 5.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Accotink Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 78
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 80%Socioeconomic
- 73%Household composition
- 86%Racial/ethnic minority
- 55%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 113Total filings over 4 yrs
- 4.22%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.6%Peak (2016)
- 36Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.2%Housing insecurity
- 9.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 22.0%Food insecurity
- 16.2%SNAP enrollment
- 10.2%Transit barriers
- 14.2%No health insurance
- 14.3%Frequent mental distress
- 31.0%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Accotink Heights
33% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1.5/10. Set annual rent against average income of $56,442 and the ratio lands at 32%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
Running hot, local political climate reads 8.4/10. It sits 1.6 points above the Fairfax County average of 4.3.
On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.2/10. At $1,513 a month, rents run 22% under what the rest of Annandale commands. The poverty rate is 18%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
The filing record is not thin: 113 evictions over 4 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2016, when 5.6% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 4.2% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #19,618 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
About tract 51059452301
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059452301?
What is the average rent in tract 51059452301?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059452301?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059452301?
Is tract 51059452301 considered part of Accotink Heights?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059452301?
What share of households in tract 51059452301 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51059452301 compare to Annandale overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Annandale
Top eight tracts in Annandale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.