Accotink Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate

The severe-burden share is 33%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Pulling the other way is supply constraint, at 1.5/10. Annualized rent equals 32% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with.

Sitting well above the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure at 8.2/10. At $1,513 a month, rents sit 22% under what the rest of Annandale commands.

The poverty rate is 18%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Court records for this tract carry 113 eviction filings.

Running hot is tenant-organizing strength at 7.5/10. The worst year on record was 2016, when filings touched 5.6% of renter households.

That places it #1 of 9 neighborhoods in Annandale. Judgments average 1.6% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 5.9/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.