Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #17,526 of 84,120 nationally
Regency at Ashburn Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 51107611018 · Loudoun County, VA · pop 3,794 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Census tract 51107611018 sits in the Regency at Ashburn neighborhood of Ashburn, Virginia. It has a population of 3,794 and an eviction-risk score of 6.1/10 (Elevated tier). 64% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 41% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $3,159/month against a median household income of $98,646 — roughly 38% rent-to-income at the medians.
Risk score
6.1
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 45%
Stable renters 25%
Owners 30%
Tract context
Occupied units2,313
Renter share70.2%
SVI overall0.55
Poverty rate11.5%
Median income$98,646
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
99
th percentile
Very High
Within state
85
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Ashburn and the region
Centroid at 39.0326, -77.4431 · click any tract to drill in
Why Regency at Ashburn scores 6.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Ashburn
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
11.5% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$3,159 rent vs county FMR
8.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Ashburn
6.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Ashburn
6.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Ashburn
4.5
How Regency at Ashburn compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 55
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 21%Socioeconomic
- 80%Household composition
- 48%Racial/ethnic minority
- 79%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 30Total filings over 1 yrs
- 3.26%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.3%Peak (2016)
- 30Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Regency at Ashburn. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.1%Housing insecurity
- 3.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.7%Food insecurity
- 5.3%SNAP enrollment
- 4.7%Transit barriers
- 8.0%No health insurance
- 10.5%Frequent mental distress
- 36.7%Any disability
Frequently asked
About tract 51107611018
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51107611018?
Census tract 51107611018 in the Regency at Ashburn neighborhood scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51107611018?
Median gross rent is $3,159/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51107611018?
11.5% of residents in tract 51107611018 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,794.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51107611018?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 21th, household 80th, minority 48th, housing 79th.
Q5
Is tract 51107611018 considered part of Regency at Ashburn?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51107611018 fall within Regency at Ashburn (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51107611018?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 30 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51107611018 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.26% of renter households, peaking at 3.3% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51107611018 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.9% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51107611018 compare to Ashburn overall?
Tract 51107611018 scores 6.1/10 — higher than the parent city of Ashburn at 5.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Ashburn eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Ashburn
Top eight tracts in Ashburn ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Potomac Green
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Ashbriar
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Ridges At Ashburn
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Regency at Ashburn
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Four Seasons at Ashburn Village
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
The Regency
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Ashburn Mews
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Potomac Green
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
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