Princedale Eviction Risk: Lower , Dale City
Tract 51153901230 · Prince William County, VA · pop 4,116 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Census tract 51153901230 belongs to the Princedale area of Dale City, Virginia. It is home to 4,116 residents and scores 5.5/10, a moderate reading for landlords. That is riskier than roughly 55% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
47% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 41% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,450 monthly, set against $158,611 in average yearly household income, roughly 19% of income at the averages. Renters make up 10% of occupied homes.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Dale City and the region
Centroid at 38.6635, -77.3892 · click any tract to drill in
Why Princedale scores 2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Princedale compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 26
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 37%Socioeconomic
- 32%Household composition
- 74%Racial/ethnic minority
- 11%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 4Total filings over 1 yrs
- 3.74%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.7%Peak (2016)
- 4Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.4%Housing insecurity
- 8.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.4%Food insecurity
- 11.3%SNAP enrollment
- 8.3%Transit barriers
- 10.8%No health insurance
- 15.9%Frequent mental distress
- 29.4%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Princedale
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 5.6/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Dale City eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Prince William County average of 5.7 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 26th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
In CDC survey modeling, about 13.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
About tract 51153901230
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51153901230?
What is the average rent in tract 51153901230?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51153901230?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51153901230?
Is tract 51153901230 considered part of Princedale?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51153901230?
What share of households in tract 51153901230 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51153901230 compare to Dale City overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Dale City
Top eight tracts in Dale City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.