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Neighborhood · Dale City, VA

Princedale Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 4,116 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.3/10 · range 3.3–3.3

Princedale maps to a single census tract in Dale City, VA and houses 4,116 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 3.3/10, in the Lower tier. Severe burden reaches 41%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

Against a Dale City baseline of 32.6%, about half of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. Average gross rent is $2,450, 31% above the Dale City average of $1,876. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.7/10.

On the softer side is tenant-organizing strength, at 2/10. Well under the midpoint is housing-court posture, at 2.2/10. The filing record is not thin: 4 evictions logged in this tract.

The worst year on record was 2016, when filings touched 3.7% of renter households. That places it #6 of 12 neighborhoods in Dale City.

Judgments average 1.9% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. At 10% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. The closest comparables inside the same city are Cloverdale and Silverdale.

One tract means one number: 3.3/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
3.3
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Princedale vs Dale City How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
47.1% +44%
Dale City: 32.6%
Average gross rent
$2,450 +31%
Dale City: $1,876
Average HH income
$158,611 +33%
Dale City: $118,975
Poverty rate
10.0% +50%
Dale City: 6.7%
Renter share
10.4% -50%
Dale City: 20.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Princedale and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.3–3.3

Why Princedale scores 3.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts
6.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.7–6.7 across tracts
6.7
Rent control risk
47% of income on rent · Range 1.7–1.7 across tracts
1.7
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts
3.4
Tenant organizing strength
10% renter households · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Economic stress
10.0% below poverty line · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.6–5.6 across tracts
5.6
Risk score comparison

Princedale vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Princedale score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.3PrincedaleNeighborhood3.4Parent cityhost city4.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Princedale

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51153901230 3.3 4,116 47% $2,450
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 26

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 37%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 32%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 74%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 11%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Princedale

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 4Total filings (sum)
  • 3.74%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.7%Peak year (2016)
  • 3.74%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Princedale

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Princedale

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Princedale?

Princedale scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Princedale compare to Dale City overall?

Princedale scores 0.1 points lower than Dale City overall (3.4/10). Renters spend 47% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $2,450 vs $1,876.
Q3

What is the average rent in Princedale?

Average gross rent in Princedale is $2,450/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Princedale residents are renters?

10% of Princedale households are renter-occupied (vs 21% in Dale City). The neighborhood has 4,116 residents.
Q5

Is Princedale a high social-vulnerability area?

Princedale sits in the 26th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Princedale for landlords?

Princedale carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Dale City as a whole (3.4/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Princedale?

Princedale has 4,025 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (32.4%), Black (non-Hispanic) (24.3%), Hispanic / Latino (19.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Princedale

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Dale City

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Princedale.

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