Neighborhood · Dale City, VA

Princedale Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 4,116 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 2/10 · range 2–2

Princedale is a white-black neighborhood in Dale City with 1 census tract and a population of 4,116 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 2/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 47% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 41% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $2,450/month sits 31% higher than the Dale City citywide average ($1,876).

Risk score

Lower

1 tracts · population-weighted

Princedale vs Dale City How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

47.1% +44%

Dale City: 32.6%

Average gross rent

$2,450 +31%

Dale City: $1,876

Average HH income

$158,611 +33%

Dale City: $118,975

Poverty rate

10.0% +50%

Dale City: 6.7%

Renter share

10.4% -50%

Dale City: 20.7%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Princedale and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 2–2

Why Princedale scores 2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts

3.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts

6.4

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 6.7–6.7 across tracts

6.7

Rent control risk

47% of income on rent · Range 1.7–1.7 across tracts

1.7

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts

3.4

Tenant organizing strength

10% renter households · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts

2.0

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts

2.2

Economic stress

10.0% below poverty line · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts

2.5

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.6–5.6 across tracts

5.6

Risk score comparison

Princedale vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Princedale

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
51153901230	2	4,116	47%	$2,450

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 26

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 37%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 32%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 74%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 11%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Princedale

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

4Total filings (sum)
3.74%Avg annual filing rate
3.7%Peak year (2016)
3.74%Latest filed (2016)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Princedale

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

13.4%Housing insecurity
8.2%Utility shutoff threat
15.4%Food insecurity
11.3%SNAP enrollment
10.8%No health insurance
29.4%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Princedale

What is the eviction-risk score for Princedale?

Princedale scores 2/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Princedale compare to Dale City overall?

Princedale scores 1.7 points lower than Dale City overall (3.7/10). Renters spend 47% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $2,450 vs $1,876.

What is the average rent in Princedale?

Average gross rent in Princedale is $2,450/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Princedale residents are renters?

10% of Princedale households are renter-occupied (vs 21% in Dale City). The neighborhood has 4,116 residents.

Is Princedale a high social-vulnerability area?

Princedale sits in the 26th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Princedale for landlords?

Princedale carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (2/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Dale City as a whole (3.7/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Princedale?

Princedale has 4,025 residents (White-Black Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (32.4%), Black (non-Hispanic) (24.3%), Hispanic / Latino (19.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Princedale

1.7 Kerrydale 2 tracts · pop 12,361 1.1 Southlake 2 tracts · pop 12,342 2 The Heights 5 tracts · pop 26,016 2.7 Marumsco Hills 2 tracts · pop 8,902 1.9 Potomac Town Center 2 tracts · pop 12,160 2.1 Spyglass Hill 2 tracts · pop 8,989

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Dale City

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Princedale.

2 Cloverdale 1 tracts · pop 5,003 2.1 Silverdale 1 tracts · pop 6,578 1.9 Neabsco Hills 1 tracts · pop 5,334 1.8 Mapledale 1 tracts · pop 6,079 2.3 Daleview Manor 1 tracts · pop 3,536 1.7 Ridgedale 1 tracts · pop 4,766

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