Seminary Valley Eviction Risk: Lower , Alexandria
Tract 51510200305 · Alexandria city, VA · pop 2,931 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Census tract 51510200305 sits in the Seminary Valley neighborhood of Alexandria eviction risk, Virginia eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 5.5/10. On the national scale it ranks #37,665 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
32% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 14% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,964 a month against an average household income of $101,080 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 51% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Alexandria and the region
Centroid at 38.8144, -77.1213 · click any tract to drill in
Why Seminary Valley scores 2.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Seminary Valley compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 53
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 28%Socioeconomic
- 64%Household composition
- 81%Racial/ethnic minority
- 63%Housing & transportation
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Seminary Valley. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.2%Housing insecurity
- 7.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.0%Food insecurity
- 9.2%SNAP enrollment
- 6.8%Transit barriers
- 8.1%No health insurance
- 14.2%Frequent mental distress
- 26.2%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Seminary Valley
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 6.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Alexandria eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Alexandria City County average of 5.9 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 11.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 53rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
About tract 51510200305
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51510200305?
What is the average rent in tract 51510200305?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51510200305?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51510200305?
Is tract 51510200305 considered part of Seminary Valley?
What share of households in tract 51510200305 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51510200305 compare to Alexandria overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Alexandria
Top eight tracts in Alexandria ranked by composite eviction-risk score.